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Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Kinross Gold Corporation

KGCMarket cap $28BPrice $23.8

Country🇨🇦Canada

SectorMaterials

IndustryMetals & Mining

Mines gold and silver across the Americas, Africa, and Russia's neighbor Mauritania, turning rock into bullion at some of the industry's lowest costs per ounce. Its Tasiast mine in Mauritania is quietly becoming one of the world's most profitable gold operations.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-5%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+27%9

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+20%8

Rev CAGR (3y)+10%7

Rev CAGR (5y)-0%1

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+227%10

EPS Growth Y+2+5%5

EPS Growth Y+3+16%8

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin51%10

Net Income Margin38%10

Free Cash Flow Margin36%10

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA-0.410

Efficiency

ROE37%10

ROA26%10

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+VERY STRONG91

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)99

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)89

P/BV2.95

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd510

EV/EBIT Fwd610

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield10.8%9

Dividend Yield0.7%2

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-23%1

3 month return-0%6

YTD return-15%3

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh61%2

1 year return-5%4

Long term

3 year return+435%10

5 year return+360%10

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta2.41

Volatility56%2

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin36%10

Free Cash Flow Yield10.8%9

Quality

ROCE38%10

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA-0.410

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

KGCKinross Gold

Revenue FY25$5.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE56 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+27%9

Revenue, next 1Y+20%8

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+10%7

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR-0%1

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+227%10

EPS growth, FY27E+5%5

EPS growth, FY28E+16%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 27%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 80% of companies worldwide.9/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 16%/yr vs revenue 10%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 56% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 10%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

Revenue grew 27%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 10%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

Over five years revenue is set to hold flat, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

BOTTOM LINE

Maturing Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the five-year outlook is thin.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

KGCKinross Gold

Total return Current1331%

Price return Current1208%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE46 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-23%1

3-month return-0%6

YTD return-15%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high61%2

1-year return-5%4

3-year return+435%10

5-year return+360%10

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Magnificent long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +435% over three years and +360% over five, ahead of 90% of the market.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over three months (+0%).

WEAKNESSES

It's down 5% over the past year, now 39% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-23%) and so far this year (-15%).

BOTTOM LINE

Outperformer in a Drawdown

A proven multi-year compounder now in a meaningful pullback well below its 52-week high. This is the classic fork: either a buy-the-dip in an intact uptrend, or the early stage of a trend change. Wait for the short-term slide to stabilise before adding. The one thing to watch: the one-year trend is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Kinross. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

KGCKinross Gold

Revenue FY25$5.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE56 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+27%9

Revenue, next 1Y+20%8

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+10%7

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR-0%1

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+227%10

EPS growth, FY27E+5%5

EPS growth, FY28E+16%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 27%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 80% of companies worldwide.9/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 16%/yr vs revenue 10%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 56% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 10%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

Revenue grew 27%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 10%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

Over five years revenue is set to hold flat, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

BOTTOM LINE

Maturing Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the five-year outlook is thin.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

KGCKinross Gold

Total return Current1331%

Price return Current1208%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE46 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-23%1

3-month return-0%6

YTD return-15%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high61%2

1-year return-5%4

3-year return+435%10

5-year return+360%10

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Magnificent long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +435% over three years and +360% over five, ahead of 90% of the market.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over three months (+0%).

WEAKNESSES

It's down 5% over the past year, now 39% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-23%) and so far this year (-15%).

BOTTOM LINE

Outperformer in a Drawdown

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Kinross. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community