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Knife River Corporation (KNF) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Knife River Corporation

KNFMarket cap $2.87BPrice $50.5

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorMaterials

IndustryConstruction Materials

Produces crushed stone, sand, gravel, and ready-mix concrete that pave roads and build communities across 14 states. Spun off from MDU Resources in 2023, it's now one of the largest pure-play aggregates producers in the country.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-22%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+7%6

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+10%6

Rev CAGR (3y)+6%5

Rev CAGR (5y)+6%5

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1-26%2

EPS Growth Y+2+19%8

EPS Growth Y+3+32%9

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin8%4

Net Income Margin4%3

Free Cash Flow Margin1%3

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA2.93

Efficiency

ROE9%4

ROA4%5

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+WEAK19

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)204

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)126

P/BV1.87

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd97

EV/EBIT Fwd165

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield1.5%4

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-18%1

3 month return-37%1

YTD return-28%2

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh52%2

1 year return-26%2

Long term

3 year return+0%3

5 year return+28%5

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.95

Volatility50%3

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin1%3

Free Cash Flow Yield1.5%4

Quality

ROCE8%5

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA2.93

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

KNFKnife River

Revenue FY25$2.9B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE50 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+7%6

Revenue, next 1Y+10%6

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+6%5

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+6%5

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-26%2

EPS growth, FY27E+19%8

EPS growth, FY28E+32%9

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 50% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 6%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

Revenue grew 7%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 6%/yr.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 6%/yr, about average versus companies worldwide.5/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 19%/yr vs revenue 6%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 26% next year.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth is only about average.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK7 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-18%1

3-month return-37%1

YTD return-28%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high52%2

1-year return-26%2

3-year return+0%3

5-year return+28%5

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+0.5% over three years and +28% over five), roughly average for the market.

WEAKNESSES

It's down 26% over the past year, now 48% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-18%), over three months (-37%) and so far this year (-28%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the one-year trend is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Knife River Corporation. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

KNFKnife River

Revenue FY25$2.9B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE50 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+7%6

Revenue, next 1Y+10%6

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+6%5

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+6%5

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-26%2

EPS growth, FY27E+19%8

EPS growth, FY28E+32%9

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 50% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 6%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

Revenue grew 7%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 6%/yr.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 6%/yr, about average versus companies worldwide.5/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 19%/yr vs revenue 6%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 26% next year.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth is only about average.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK7 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-18%1

3-month return-37%1

YTD return-28%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high52%2

1-year return-26%2

3-year return+0%3

5-year return+28%5

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+0.5% over three years and +28% over five), roughly average for the market.

WEAKNESSES

It's down 26% over the past year, now 48% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-18%), over three months (-37%) and so far this year (-28%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Knife River Corporation. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community