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Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (KNX) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.

KNXMarket cap $10BPrice $63.6

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorIndustrials

IndustryGround Transport

Hauls freight across America's highways as the country's largest truckload carrier, running tens of thousands of tractors and trailers. Built through aggressive mergers, it now moves goods for nearly every major retailer whose products fill your home.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+36%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+0%3

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+10%6

Rev CAGR (3y)+8%6

Rev CAGR (5y)+6%5

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+462%10

EPS Growth Y+2+69%10

EPS Growth Y+3+33%9

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin3%2

Net Income Margin1%2

Free Cash Flow Margin7%5

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA2.04

Efficiency

ROE1%2

ROA0%2

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+WEAK26

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)194

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)126

P/BV1.58

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd106

EV/EBIT Fwd233

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield5.3%7

Dividend Yield1.3%4

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-10%2

3 month return-15%2

YTD return+23%8

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh77%5

1 year return+40%9

Long term

3 year return+36%5

5 year return+40%5

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.14

Volatility40%5

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin7%5

Free Cash Flow Yield5.3%7

Quality

ROCE2%2

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA2.04

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

KNXKnight-Swift Transportation Holdings

Revenue FY25$7.5B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE56 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+0%3

Revenue, next 1Y+10%6

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+8%6

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+6%5

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+462%10

EPS growth, FY27E+69%10

EPS growth, FY28E+33%9

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years and is set to grow 8%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 69%/yr vs revenue 8%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 56% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 8%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 6%/yr, about average versus companies worldwide.5/10

WEAKNESSES

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: the 3-year revenue record is weak.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK33 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-10%2

3-month return-15%2

YTD return+23%8

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high77%5

1-year return+40%9

3-year return+36%5

5-year return+40%5

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It's up 40% over the past year, but 23% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming so far this year (+23%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+36% over three years and +40% over five), roughly average for the market.

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-10%) and over three months (-15%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the stock is underperforming over the past month and over three months.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

KNXKnight-Swift Transportation Holdings

Revenue FY25$7.5B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE56 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+0%3

Revenue, next 1Y+10%6

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+8%6

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+6%5

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+462%10

EPS growth, FY27E+69%10

EPS growth, FY28E+33%9

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years and is set to grow 8%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 69%/yr vs revenue 8%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 56% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 8%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 6%/yr, about average versus companies worldwide.5/10

WEAKNESSES

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: the 3-year revenue record is weak.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK33 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-10%2

3-month return-15%2

YTD return+23%8

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high77%5

1-year return+40%9

3-year return+36%5

5-year return+40%5

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It's up 40% over the past year, but 23% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming so far this year (+23%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+36% over three years and +40% over five), roughly average for the market.

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-10%) and over three months (-15%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community