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LGI Homes, Inc. (LGIH) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

LGIHLGI Homes

Revenue FY25$1.7B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE46 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-10%1

Revenue, next 1Y+6%5

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+8%6

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+6%5

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-11%3

EPS growth, FY27E+25%8

EPS growth, FY28E+27%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 8%/yr from here.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 46% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 8%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 6%/yr, about average versus companies worldwide.5/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 25%/yr vs revenue 8%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 11% next year.

WEAKNESSES

Revenue fell 10%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK4 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-16%1

3-month return-22%1

YTD return+4%5

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high67%3

1-year return-6%4

3-year return-53%1

5-year return-68%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level so far this year (+4%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-53% over three years and -68% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 6% over the past year, now 33% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-16%) and over three months (-22%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on LGI Homes, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

LGIHLGI Homes

Revenue FY25$1.7B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE46 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-10%1

Revenue, next 1Y+6%5

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+8%6

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+6%5

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-11%3

EPS growth, FY27E+25%8

EPS growth, FY28E+27%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 8%/yr from here.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 46% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 8%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 6%/yr, about average versus companies worldwide.5/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 25%/yr vs revenue 8%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 11% next year.

WEAKNESSES

Revenue fell 10%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK4 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-16%1

3-month return-22%1

YTD return+4%5

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high67%3

1-year return-6%4

3-year return-53%1

5-year return-68%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level so far this year (+4%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-53% over three years and -68% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 6% over the past year, now 33% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-16%) and over three months (-22%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on LGI Homes, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community

LGI Homes, Inc.

01Key Ratings

02Growth

03Price Momentum

04Value

Stop guessing on LGI Homes, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

02Growth

03Price Momentum

04Value

Stop guessing on LGI Homes, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium