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Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Grand Canyon Education, Inc.

LOPEMarket cap $4.01BPrice $155.7

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorConsumer

IndustryConsumer Services

Provides education services and technology to Grand Canyon University and other partner schools, handling everything from marketing to curriculum support. It profits from booming online enrollment without carrying the risk of running the university itself.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-26%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+7%6

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+6%4

Rev CAGR (3y)+6%5

Rev CAGR (5y)+5%5

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+34%9

EPS Growth Y+2+7%6

EPS Growth Y+3+6%5

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin28%9

Net Income Margin20%8

Free Cash Flow Margin21%8

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA-0.510

Efficiency

ROE31%9

ROA23%10

Earnings Stability88

GEAR+VERY STRONG88

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)156

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)135

P/BV6.03

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd106

EV/EBIT Fwd127

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield6.1%7

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return+3%9

3 month return+3%7

YTD return-6%4

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh70%3

1 year return-26%2

Long term

3 year return+36%5

5 year return+79%7

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.85

Volatility32%6

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin21%8

Free Cash Flow Yield6.1%7

Quality

ROCE37%10

Earnings Stability88

Net Debt/EBITDA-0.510

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

LOPEGrand Canyon Education

Revenue FY25$1.0B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE46 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+7%6

Revenue, next 1Y+6%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+6%5

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%5

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+34%9

EPS growth, FY27E+7%6

EPS growth, FY28E+6%5

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 7%/yr vs revenue 6%/yr).

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 46% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 6%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

Revenue grew 7%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 6%/yr.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, about average versus companies worldwide.5/10

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth is only about average.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE48 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+3%9

3-month return+3%7

YTD return-6%4

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high70%3

1-year return-26%2

3-year return+36%5

5-year return+79%7

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+3%) and over three months (+3%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+36% over three years and +79% over five), roughly average for the market.

Returns sit at the market level so far this year (-6%).

WEAKNESSES

It's down 26% over the past year, now 30% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

BOTTOM LINE

Fresh Momentum

Short-term returns are strong but the long track record is thin. Momentum is building — confirmation from longer horizons would strengthen the case. The one thing to watch: the one-year trend is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Grand Canyon Education, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

LOPEGrand Canyon Education

Revenue FY25$1.0B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE46 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+7%6

Revenue, next 1Y+6%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+6%5

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%5

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+34%9

EPS growth, FY27E+7%6

EPS growth, FY28E+6%5

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 7%/yr vs revenue 6%/yr).

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 46% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 6%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

Revenue grew 7%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 6%/yr.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, about average versus companies worldwide.5/10

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth is only about average.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE48 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+3%9

3-month return+3%7

YTD return-6%4

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high70%3

1-year return-26%2

3-year return+36%5

5-year return+79%7

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+3%) and over three months (+3%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+36% over three years and +79% over five), roughly average for the market.

Returns sit at the market level so far this year (-6%).

WEAKNESSES

It's down 26% over the past year, now 30% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

BOTTOM LINE

Fresh Momentum

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Grand Canyon Education, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community