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Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Louisiana-Pacific Corporation

LPXMarket cap $4.68BPrice $66.9

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorIndustrials

IndustryBuilding Products

Manufactures engineered wood products like OSB and siding used to build homes across North America. When lumber prices swing wildly, LP's oriented strand board often becomes the most volatile commodity on Wall Street.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-25%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-11%1

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)-7%1

Rev CAGR (3y)+4%3

Rev CAGR (5y)+7%6

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1-83%1

EPS Growth Y+2+200%10

EPS Growth Y+3+35%9

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin5%3

Net Income Margin2%3

Free Cash Flow Margin-1%3

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA0.66

Efficiency

ROE3%2

ROA2%4

Earnings Stability44

GEAR+VERY WEAK5

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)411

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)164

P/BV2.75

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd173

EV/EBIT Fwd521

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-0.4%2

Dividend Yield1.8%5

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-2%7

3 month return-10%3

YTD return-16%3

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh67%3

1 year return-24%2

Long term

3 year return+34%5

5 year return+15%4

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.04

Volatility41%4

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-1%3

Free Cash Flow Yield-0.4%2

Quality

ROCE5%3

Earnings Stability44

Net Debt/EBITDA0.66

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

LPXLouisiana-Pacific

Revenue FY25$2.9B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK26 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-11%1

Revenue, next 1Y-7%1

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+7%6

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-83%1

EPS growth, FY27E+200%10

EPS growth, FY28E+35%9

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 4%/yr from here.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 7%/yr, ahead of 50% of companies worldwide.6/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 35%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 83% next year.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 74% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 11%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK23 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-2%7

3-month return-10%3

YTD return-16%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high67%3

1-year return-24%2

3-year return+34%5

5-year return+15%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (-2%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+34% over three years and +15% over five), roughly average for the market.

WEAKNESSES

It's down 24% over the past year, now 33% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over three months (-10%) and so far this year (-16%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the one-year trend is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Louisiana-Pacific Corporation. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

LPXLouisiana-Pacific

Revenue FY25$2.9B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK26 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-11%1

Revenue, next 1Y-7%1

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+7%6

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-83%1

EPS growth, FY27E+200%10

EPS growth, FY28E+35%9

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 4%/yr from here.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 7%/yr, ahead of 50% of companies worldwide.6/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 35%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 83% next year.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 74% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 11%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK23 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-2%7

3-month return-10%3

YTD return-16%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high67%3

1-year return-24%2

3-year return+34%5

5-year return+15%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (-2%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+34% over three years and +15% over five), roughly average for the market.

WEAKNESSES

It's down 24% over the past year, now 33% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over three months (-10%) and so far this year (-16%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Louisiana-Pacific Corporation. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community