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Lottomatica Group S.p.A. (LTMC) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Lottomatica Group S.p.A.

LTMCMarket cap $6.39BPrice $27.2

Country🇮🇹Italy

SectorConsumer

IndustryHotels & Leisure

Runs Italy's largest gambling and betting empire, from lottery terminals to online sports betting apps. Nearly every scratch-off ticket and slot machine payout in the country flows through its network, making it a near-monopoly on Italian luck.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+9%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+21%9

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+2%3

Rev CAGR (3y)+6%5

Rev CAGR (5y)+4%4

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+148%10

EPS Growth Y+2+14%7

EPS Growth Y+3+11%7

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin22%8

Net Income Margin10%5

Free Cash Flow Margin26%9

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA3.13

Efficiency

ROE61%10

ROA6%7

Earnings Stability88

GEAR+VERY STRONG94

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)137

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)117

P/BV25.81

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd87

EV/EBIT Fwd118

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield10.1%9

Dividend Yield1.8%5

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-7%4

3 month return-6%4

YTD return+10%6

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh86%7

1 year return+9%6

Long term

3 year return+196%9

5 year return+212%9

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.210

Volatility35%5

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin26%9

Free Cash Flow Yield10.1%9

Quality

ROCE17%8

Earnings Stability88

Net Debt/EBITDA3.13

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

LTMCLottomatica Group S.p.A.

Revenue FY25$2.6B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE47 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+21%9

Revenue, next 1Y+2%3

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+6%5

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%4

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+148%10

EPS growth, FY27E+14%7

EPS growth, FY28E+11%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 21%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 80% of companies worldwide.9/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 14%/yr vs revenue 6%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 47% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 6%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

Revenue grew 21%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 6%/yr.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 60% of companies worldwide.4/10

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth is only about average.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

LTMCLottomatica Group S.p.A.

Total return Current161%

Price return Current152%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE64 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-7%4

3-month return-6%4

YTD return+10%6

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high86%7

1-year return+9%6

3-year return+196%9

5-year return+212%9

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Magnificent long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +196% over three years and +212% over five, ahead of 80% of the market.

It's up 9% over the past year, but 14% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-7%), over three months (-6%) and so far this year (+10%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Compounder

Dependable multi-year returns with a calmer near-term tape. A reliable long-term trend rather than a short-term breakout.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Lottomatica Group S.p.A.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

LTMCLottomatica Group S.p.A.

Revenue FY25$2.6B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE47 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+21%9

Revenue, next 1Y+2%3

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+6%5

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%4

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+148%10

EPS growth, FY27E+14%7

EPS growth, FY28E+11%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 21%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 80% of companies worldwide.9/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 14%/yr vs revenue 6%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 47% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 6%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

Revenue grew 21%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 6%/yr.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 60% of companies worldwide.4/10

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth is only about average.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

LTMCLottomatica Group S.p.A.

Total return Current161%

Price return Current152%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE64 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-7%4

3-month return-6%4

YTD return+10%6

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high86%7

1-year return+9%6

3-year return+196%9

5-year return+212%9

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Magnificent long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +196% over three years and +212% over five, ahead of 80% of the market.

It's up 9% over the past year, but 14% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-7%), over three months (-6%) and so far this year (+10%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Compounder

Dependable multi-year returns with a calmer near-term tape. A reliable long-term trend rather than a short-term breakout.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Lottomatica Group S.p.A.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community