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Las Vegas Sands Corp. (LVS) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

Las Vegas Sands Corp.

LVSMarket cap $23BPrice $36.1

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorConsumer

IndustryHotels & Leisure

Runs massive integrated resorts and casinos across Macao and Singapore, betting big on Asia's gambling boom instead of the Las Vegas Strip. Sold its actual Vegas properties in 2021 to double down overseas.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-24%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+47%10

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+6%5

Rev CAGR (3y)+5%4

Rev CAGR (5y)+5%4

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+34%9

EPS Growth Y+2+10%6

EPS Growth Y+3+7%6

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin23%8

Net Income Margin13%6

Free Cash Flow Margin20%8

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA2.54

Efficiency

ROE134%10

ROA9%8

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+STRONG79

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)118

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)108

P/BV40.21

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd78

EV/EBIT Fwd118

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield11.6%9

Dividend Yield3.3%8

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-17%1

3 month return-22%2

YTD return-44%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh52%2

1 year return-29%2

Long term

3 year return-16%2

5 year return+1%4

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.85

Volatility34%6

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin20%8

Free Cash Flow Yield11.6%9

Quality

ROCE19%8

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA2.54

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

LVSLas Vegas Sands

Revenue FY25$13.0B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE46 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+47%10

Revenue, next 1Y+6%5

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+5%4

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%4

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+34%9

EPS growth, FY27E+10%6

EPS growth, FY28E+7%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 47%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 10%/yr vs revenue 5%/yr).

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 46% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 5%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

Revenue grew 47%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 5%/yr.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, behind 60% of companies worldwide.4/10

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Maturing Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth is only about average.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK6 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-17%1

3-month return-22%2

YTD return-44%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high52%2

1-year return-29%2

3-year return-16%2

5-year return+1%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-16% over three years and +0.7% over five), behind 70% of the market.

It's down 29% over the past year, now 48% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-17%), over three months (-22%) and so far this year (-44%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Las Vegas. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

LVSLas Vegas Sands

Revenue FY25$13.0B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE46 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+47%10

Revenue, next 1Y+6%5

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+5%4

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%4

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+34%9

EPS growth, FY27E+10%6

EPS growth, FY28E+7%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 47%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 10%/yr vs revenue 5%/yr).

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 46% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 5%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

Revenue grew 47%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 5%/yr.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, behind 60% of companies worldwide.4/10

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Maturing Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth is only about average.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK6 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-17%1

3-month return-22%2

YTD return-44%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high52%2

1-year return-29%2

3-year return-16%2

5-year return+1%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-16% over three years and +0.7% over five), behind 70% of the market.

It's down 29% over the past year, now 48% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-17%), over three months (-22%) and so far this year (-44%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Las Vegas. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community