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Madison Air Solutions Corporation (MAIR) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

Madison Air Solutions Corporation

MAIRMarket cap $12BPrice $24.0

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorIndustrials

IndustryBuilding Products

Manufactures air filtration and ventilation systems for commercial and industrial buildings across the US. Indoor air quality regulations keep tightening, and that's turning a once-boring HVAC niche into a steady growth business with recurring replacement demand.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-32%

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)na–

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+17%8

Rev CAGR (3y)+10%7

Rev CAGR (5y)+9%7

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1na–

EPS Growth Y+2+19%8

EPS Growth Y+3+13%7

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin17%7

Net Income Margin4%3

Free Cash Flow Margin11%6

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA3.33

Efficiency

ROE4%3

ROAna–

Earnings Stability1010

GEAR+

Not enough data to calculate the GEAR+ rating.

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)204

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)174

P/BV3.35

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd144

EV/EBIT Fwd156

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield3.6%5

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-4%5

3 month return-33%1

YTD return-24%2

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh54%2

1 year return-24%2

Long term

3 year return-24%2

5 year return-24%2

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Betana–

Volatility55%2

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin11%6

Free Cash Flow Yield3.6%5

Quality

ROCE17%8

Earnings Stability1010

Net Debt/EBITDA3.33

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

MAIRMadison Air Solutions

Revenue FY25$3.3B

GROWTH RATING↗

——

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGRna–

Revenue, next 1Y+17%8

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+10%7

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+9%7

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26Ena–

EPS growth, FY27E+19%8

EPS growth, FY28E+13%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue is set to grow 10%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years and is set to grow 10%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 9%/yr over five years.7/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 13%/yr vs revenue 10%/yr).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 100% of companies worldwide.

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's speeding up.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK6 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-4%5

3-month return-33%1

YTD return-24%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high54%2

1-year return-24%2

3-year return-24%2

5-year return-24%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-4%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-24% over three years and -24% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 24% over the past year, now 46% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over three months (-33%) and so far this year (-24%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Madison Air Solutions Corporation. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

MAIRMadison Air Solutions

Revenue FY25$3.3B

GROWTH RATING↗

——

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGRna–

Revenue, next 1Y+17%8

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+10%7

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+9%7

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26Ena–

EPS growth, FY27E+19%8

EPS growth, FY28E+13%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue is set to grow 10%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years and is set to grow 10%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 9%/yr over five years.7/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 13%/yr vs revenue 10%/yr).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 100% of companies worldwide.

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's speeding up.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK6 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-4%5

3-month return-33%1

YTD return-24%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high54%2

1-year return-24%2

3-year return-24%2

5-year return-24%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-4%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-24% over three years and -24% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 24% over the past year, now 46% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over three months (-33%) and so far this year (-24%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Madison Air Solutions Corporation. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community