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LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne (MC) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne

MCMarket cap $215BPrice $435.3

Country🇫🇷France

SectorConsumer

IndustryApparel & Luxury

Owns luxury brands like Louis Vuitton, Hennessy, and Moët & Chandon that rich people buy regardless of economic conditions. Controls 75 luxury houses generating more revenue than most countries' GDP.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-37%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+4%4

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)-5%1

Rev CAGR (3y)+3%3

Rev CAGR (5y)+3%3

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+0%4

EPS Growth Y+2+11%7

EPS Growth Y+3+9%6

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin22%8

Net Income Margin14%7

Free Cash Flow Margin18%8

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA1.16

Efficiency

ROE16%7

ROA8%8

Earnings Stability77

GEAR+AVERAGE55

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)165

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)145

P/BV2.85

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd97

EV/EBIT Fwd127

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield7.5%8

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-9%3

3 month return-20%2

YTD return-39%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh60%2

1 year return-31%2

Long term

3 year return-43%1

5 year return-32%2

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.85

Volatility30%7

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin18%8

Free Cash Flow Yield7.5%8

Quality

ROCE15%8

Earnings Stability77

Net Debt/EBITDA1.16

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

MCLVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne

Revenue FY25$84.7B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK19 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+4%4

Revenue, next 1Y-5%1

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+3%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+3%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+0%4

EPS growth, FY27E+11%7

EPS growth, FY28E+9%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 9%/yr vs revenue 3%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

Revenue grew 4%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 3%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 81% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 3%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.2/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 3%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MCLVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne

Total return Current247%

Price return Current200%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK4 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-9%3

3-month return-20%2

YTD return-39%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high60%2

1-year return-31%2

3-year return-43%1

5-year return-32%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-43% over three years and -32% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 31% over the past year, now 40% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-9%), over three months (-20%) and so far this year (-39%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on LVMH. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

MCLVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne

Revenue FY25$84.7B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK19 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+4%4

Revenue, next 1Y-5%1

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+3%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+3%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+0%4

EPS growth, FY27E+11%7

EPS growth, FY28E+9%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 9%/yr vs revenue 3%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

Revenue grew 4%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 3%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 81% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 3%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.2/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 3%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MCLVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne

Total return Current247%

Price return Current200%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK4 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-9%3

3-month return-20%2

YTD return-39%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high60%2

1-year return-31%2

3-year return-43%1

5-year return-32%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-43% over three years and -32% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 31% over the past year, now 40% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-9%), over three months (-20%) and so far this year (-39%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on LVMH. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community