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Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. (MCRI) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.

MCRIMarket cap $2.12BPrice $118.2

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorConsumer

IndustryHotels & Leisure

Runs upscale casino resorts in Nevada and Colorado, blending gaming with high-end dining and hotels. Debt-free balance sheet and owner-operator management help it consistently outperform bigger rivals on margins per property.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+26%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+4%5

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+5%4

Rev CAGR (3y)+3%2

Rev CAGR (5y)+2%2

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+22%8

EPS Growth Y+2+5%5

EPS Growth Y+3+7%6

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin27%8

Net Income Margin20%8

Free Cash Flow Margin27%9

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA-0.610

Efficiency

ROE21%8

ROA16%10

Earnings Stability77

GEAR+STRONG80

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)185

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)164

P/BV3.74

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd96

EV/EBIT Fwd137

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield7.3%8

Dividend Yield1.0%3

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-1%7

3 month return-6%4

YTD return+24%8

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh87%7

1 year return+22%7

Long term

3 year return+98%7

5 year return+96%7

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.67

Volatility25%8

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin27%9

Free Cash Flow Yield7.3%8

Quality

ROCE26%9

Earnings Stability77

Net Debt/EBITDA-0.610

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

MCRIMonarch Casino & Resort

Revenue FY25$545M

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK20 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+4%5

Revenue, next 1Y+5%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+3%2

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+2%2

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+22%8

EPS growth, FY27E+5%5

EPS growth, FY28E+7%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 7%/yr vs revenue 3%/yr).

WATCH

Revenue grew 4%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 3%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 80% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 3%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 2%/yr, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE64 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-1%7

3-month return-6%4

YTD return+24%8

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high87%7

1-year return+22%7

3-year return+98%7

5-year return+96%7

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +98% over three years and +96% over five, ahead of 60% of the market.

It's up 22% over the past year, but 13% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (-1%) and so far this year (+24%).

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-6%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Momentum Leader

Short- and long-term returns both rank among the best globally. The market is behind it — a core fit for momentum strategies.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

MCRIMonarch Casino & Resort

Revenue FY25$545M

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK20 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+4%5

Revenue, next 1Y+5%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+3%2

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+2%2

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+22%8

EPS growth, FY27E+5%5

EPS growth, FY28E+7%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 7%/yr vs revenue 3%/yr).

WATCH

Revenue grew 4%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 3%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 80% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 3%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 2%/yr, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE64 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-1%7

3-month return-6%4

YTD return+24%8

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high87%7

1-year return+22%7

3-year return+98%7

5-year return+96%7

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +98% over three years and +96% over five, ahead of 60% of the market.

It's up 22% over the past year, but 13% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (-1%) and so far this year (+24%).

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-6%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Momentum Leader

Short- and long-term returns both rank among the best globally. The market is behind it — a core fit for momentum strategies.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community