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MDU Resources Group, Inc. (MDU) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

MDU Resources Group, Inc.

MDUMarket cap $3.99BPrice $18.9

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorUtilities

IndustryGas Utilities

MDU Resources delivers natural gas and electricity to homes across eight states while also building the pipelines and power plants that keep America's energy grid running. It's basically a utility that moonlights as its own construction contractor.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+0%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+2%4

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+6%5

Rev CAGR (3y)+6%5

Rev CAGR (5y)+6%6

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+6%5

EPS Growth Y+2+11%7

EPS Growth Y+3+13%7

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin17%7

Net Income Margin11%6

Free Cash Flow Margin-21%2

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA4.82

Efficiency

ROE7%3

ROA3%4

Earnings Stability44

GEAR+WEAK31

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)194

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)155

P/BV1.48

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd115

EV/EBIT Fwd194

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-9.7%1

Dividend Yield3.1%7

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-2%6

3 month return-8%4

YTD return-1%5

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh84%6

1 year return+7%6

Long term

3 year return+94%7

5 year return+86%7

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.76

Volatility20%10

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-21%2

Free Cash Flow Yield-9.7%1

Quality

ROCE5%3

Earnings Stability44

Net Debt/EBITDA4.82

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

MDUMDU Resources Group

Revenue FY25$1.9B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE49 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+2%4

Revenue, next 1Y+6%5

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+6%5

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+6%6

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+6%5

EPS growth, FY27E+11%7

EPS growth, FY28E+13%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 2%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 6%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 11%/yr vs revenue 6%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 49% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 6%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 6%/yr, ahead of 50% of companies worldwide.6/10

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth is only about average.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE55 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-2%6

3-month return-8%4

YTD return-1%5

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high84%6

1-year return+7%6

3-year return+94%7

5-year return+86%7

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +94% over three years and +86% over five, ahead of 60% of the market.

WATCH

It's up 7% over the past year, but 16% below its 52-week high. That is a touch ahead of the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-2%), over three months (-8%) and so far this year (-1%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Compounder

Dependable multi-year returns with a calmer near-term tape. A reliable long-term trend rather than a short-term breakout.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on MDU Resources Group, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

MDUMDU Resources Group

Revenue FY25$1.9B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE49 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+2%4

Revenue, next 1Y+6%5

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+6%5

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+6%6

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+6%5

EPS growth, FY27E+11%7

EPS growth, FY28E+13%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 2%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 6%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 11%/yr vs revenue 6%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 49% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 6%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 6%/yr, ahead of 50% of companies worldwide.6/10

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth is only about average.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE55 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-2%6

3-month return-8%4

YTD return-1%5

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high84%6

1-year return+7%6

3-year return+94%7

5-year return+86%7

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +94% over three years and +86% over five, ahead of 60% of the market.

WATCH

It's up 7% over the past year, but 16% below its 52-week high. That is a touch ahead of the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-2%), over three months (-8%) and so far this year (-1%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Compounder

Dependable multi-year returns with a calmer near-term tape. A reliable long-term trend rather than a short-term breakout.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on MDU Resources Group, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community