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MGM Resorts International (MGM) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

MGM Resorts International

MGMMarket cap $7.55BPrice $30.0

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorConsumer

IndustryHotels & Leisure

Runs casino resorts and hotels across Las Vegas, Macau, and beyond, betting big on entertainment and gaming. The Strip alone brings in billions, making MGM one of the most recognized names in global gambling.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-5%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+10%7

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+1%3

Rev CAGR (3y)+1%2

Rev CAGR (5y)+4%3

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+145%10

EPS Growth Y+2+11%7

EPS Growth Y+3+32%9

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin6%3

Net Income Margin2%3

Free Cash Flow Margin8%5

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA6.11

Efficiency

ROE15%7

ROA2%4

Earnings Stability44

GEAR+WEAK15

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)165

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)117

P/BV3.05

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd88

EV/EBIT Fwd253

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield19.8%10

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-26%1

3 month return-36%1

YTD return-18%2

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh58%2

1 year return-7%4

Long term

3 year return-18%2

5 year return-32%2

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.04

Volatility39%5

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin8%5

Free Cash Flow Yield19.8%10

Quality

ROCE3%2

Earnings Stability44

Net Debt/EBITDA6.11

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

MGMMGM Resorts International

Revenue FY25$17.5B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK28 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+10%7

Revenue, next 1Y+1%3

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+1%2

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+145%10

EPS growth, FY27E+11%7

EPS growth, FY28E+32%9

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 10%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 60% of companies worldwide.7/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 32%/yr vs revenue 1%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

Revenue grew 10%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 1%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 72% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 1%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

Growth is a weak point here: a business that is slowing. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK4 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-26%1

3-month return-36%1

YTD return-18%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high58%2

1-year return-7%4

3-year return-18%2

5-year return-32%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-18% over three years and -32% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 7% over the past year, now 42% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-26%), over three months (-36%) and so far this year (-18%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on MGM. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

MGMMGM Resorts International

Revenue FY25$17.5B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK28 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+10%7

Revenue, next 1Y+1%3

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+1%2

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+145%10

EPS growth, FY27E+11%7

EPS growth, FY28E+32%9

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 10%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 60% of companies worldwide.7/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 32%/yr vs revenue 1%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

Revenue grew 10%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 1%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 72% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 1%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

Growth is a weak point here: a business that is slowing. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK4 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-26%1

3-month return-36%1

YTD return-18%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high58%2

1-year return-7%4

3-year return-18%2

5-year return-32%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-18% over three years and -32% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 7% over the past year, now 42% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-26%), over three months (-36%) and so far this year (-18%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on MGM. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community