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MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.

MSMMarket cap $7.28BPrice $130.3

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorIndustrials

IndustryTrading & Distribution

MSC Industrial Direct supplies metalworking tools, fasteners, and MRO products to factories across North America. With over 2 million SKUs and same-day delivery, it's the go-to hookup keeping assembly lines running when a single missing part can halt production entirely.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+56%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+1%3

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+6%5

Rev CAGR (3y)+6%5

Rev CAGR (5y)+5%4

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+30%9

EPS Growth Y+2+16%8

EPS Growth Y+3+13%7

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin9%4

Net Income Margin6%4

Free Cash Flow Margin6%4

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA1.06

Efficiency

ROE17%7

ROA9%8

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+AVERAGE45

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)253

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)213

P/BV5.13

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd163

EV/EBIT Fwd214

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield3.0%5

Dividend Yield2.7%7

Momentum

Short term

1 month return+7%10

3 month return+9%8

YTD return+59%10

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh98%10

1 year return+50%9

Long term

3 year return+47%5

5 year return+88%7

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.85

Volatility27%8

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin6%4

Free Cash Flow Yield3.0%5

Quality

ROCE20%9

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA1.06

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

MSMMSC Industrial Direct Co.

Revenue FY25$3.8B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE44 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+1%3

Revenue, next 1Y+6%5

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+6%5

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%4

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+30%9

EPS growth, FY27E+16%8

EPS growth, FY28E+13%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 0.7%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 6%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 16%/yr vs revenue 6%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 44% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 6%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, behind 60% of companies worldwide.4/10

WEAKNESSES

Revenue grew 0.7%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: the 3-year revenue record is weak.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY STRONG90 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+7%10

3-month return+9%8

YTD return+59%10

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high98%10

1-year return+50%9

3-year return+47%5

5-year return+88%7

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It's up 50% over the past year, now sitting right at its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+7%), over three months (+9%) and so far this year (+59%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+47% over three years and +88% over five), roughly average for the market.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Fresh Momentum

Short-term returns are strong but the long track record is thin. Momentum is building — confirmation from longer horizons would strengthen the case.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

MSMMSC Industrial Direct Co.

Revenue FY25$3.8B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE44 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+1%3

Revenue, next 1Y+6%5

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+6%5

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%4

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+30%9

EPS growth, FY27E+16%8

EPS growth, FY28E+13%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 0.7%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 6%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 16%/yr vs revenue 6%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 44% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 6%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, behind 60% of companies worldwide.4/10

WEAKNESSES

Revenue grew 0.7%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: the 3-year revenue record is weak.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY STRONG90 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+7%10

3-month return+9%8

YTD return+59%10

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high98%10

1-year return+50%9

3-year return+47%5

5-year return+88%7

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It's up 50% over the past year, now sitting right at its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+7%), over three months (+9%) and so far this year (+59%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+47% over three years and +88% over five), roughly average for the market.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Fresh Momentum

Short-term returns are strong but the long track record is thin. Momentum is building — confirmation from longer horizons would strengthen the case.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community