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Vail Resorts, Inc. (MTN) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

Vail Resorts, Inc.

MTNMarket cap $5.21BPrice $146.1

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorConsumer

IndustryHotels & Leisure

Operates ski resorts across North America and Europe, running the Epic Pass that locks in skiers with upfront payments months before snow even falls. Owns Vail, Breckenridge, and Whistler Blackcomb, controlling the mountain vacation experience end-to-end.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+1%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-1%3

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+7%5

Rev CAGR (3y)+5%4

Rev CAGR (5y)+8%7

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+42%9

EPS Growth Y+2+14%7

EPS Growth Y+3+18%8

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin15%6

Net Income Margin5%4

Free Cash Flow Margin9%5

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA3.92

Efficiency

ROE44%10

ROA3%5

Earnings Stability22

GEAR+AVERAGE34

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)243

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)193

P/BV21.61

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd116

EV/EBIT Fwd175

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield4.8%6

Dividend Yield6.1%10

Momentum

Short term

1 month return+14%10

3 month return+1%7

YTD return+15%7

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh92%9

1 year return+4%5

Long term

3 year return-18%2

5 year return-47%2

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.76

Volatility38%5

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin9%5

Free Cash Flow Yield4.8%6

Quality

ROCE10%6

Earnings Stability22

Net Debt/EBITDA3.92

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

MTNVail Resorts

Revenue FY26$2.8B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE49 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-1%3

Revenue, next 1Y+7%5

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+5%4

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+8%7

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27E+42%9

EPS growth, FY28E+14%7

EPS growth, FY29E+18%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 5%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 8%/yr over five years.7/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 18%/yr vs revenue 5%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 49% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 5%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

WEAKNESSES

Revenue fell 0.6%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE59 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+14%10

3-month return+1%7

YTD return+15%7

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high92%9

1-year return+4%5

3-year return-18%2

5-year return-47%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It's up 4% over the past year, now 8% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+14%), over three months (+1%) and so far this year (+15%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-18% over three years and -47% over five), behind 80% of the market.

BOTTOM LINE

Early Turnaround

A poor multi-year track record but a sharp recent rally. Momentum is turning up, yet the trend is young and unproven — it needs follow-through to confirm rather than fade. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Vail Resorts, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

MTNVail Resorts

Revenue FY26$2.8B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE49 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-1%3

Revenue, next 1Y+7%5

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+5%4

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+8%7

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27E+42%9

EPS growth, FY28E+14%7

EPS growth, FY29E+18%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 5%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 8%/yr over five years.7/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 18%/yr vs revenue 5%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 49% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 5%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

WEAKNESSES

Revenue fell 0.6%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE59 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+14%10

3-month return+1%7

YTD return+15%7

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high92%9

1-year return+4%5

3-year return-18%2

5-year return-47%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It's up 4% over the past year, now 8% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+14%), over three months (+1%) and so far this year (+15%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-18% over three years and -47% over five), behind 80% of the market.

BOTTOM LINE

Early Turnaround

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Vail Resorts, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community