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MTN Group Limited (MTN) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

MTN Group Limited

MTNMarket cap $20BPrice $11.0

Country🇿🇦South Africa

SectorTechnology

IndustryTelecommunication Services

MTN Group provides mobile network and data services across Africa and the Middle East, connecting over 280 million subscribers. It's the continent's largest wireless carrier, turning basic phones into gateways for banking, payments, and internet access where landlines never existed.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+18%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+4%4

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+10%6

Rev CAGR (3y)+13%8

Rev CAGR (5y)+14%9

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+55%9

EPS Growth Y+2+25%8

EPS Growth Y+3+24%8

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin32%9

Net Income Margin8%5

Free Cash Flow Margin22%8

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA1.06

Efficiency

ROE13%6

ROA6%6

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+VERY STRONG98

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)109

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)79

P/BV2.65

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd410

EV/EBIT Fwd610

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield14.9%10

Dividend Yield2.7%7

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-9%3

3 month return-15%2

YTD return+11%7

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh77%5

1 year return+24%7

Long term

3 year return+82%7

5 year return+48%6

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.67

Volatility35%6

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin22%8

Free Cash Flow Yield14.9%10

Quality

ROCE26%9

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA1.06

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

MTNMTN Group

Revenue FY25$13.7B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG75 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+4%4

Revenue, next 1Y+10%6

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+13%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+14%9

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+55%9

EPS growth, FY27E+25%8

EPS growth, FY28E+24%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 75% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 13%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.8/10

Revenue grew 4%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 13%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 14%/yr over five years.9/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 25%/yr vs revenue 13%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A top-tier grower that's speeding up.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MTNMTN Group

Total return Current64.0%

Price return Current19.7%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE37 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-9%3

3-month return-15%2

YTD return+11%7

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high77%5

1-year return+24%7

3-year return+82%7

5-year return+48%6

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +82% over three years and +48% over five, ahead of 60% of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming so far this year (+11%).

WATCH

It's up 24% over the past year, but 23% below its 52-week high. That is a touch ahead of the market.

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-9%) and over three months (-15%).

BOTTOM LINE

Outperformer in a Drawdown

A proven multi-year compounder now in a meaningful pullback well below its 52-week high. This is the classic fork: either a buy-the-dip in an intact uptrend, or the early stage of a trend change. Wait for the short-term slide to stabilise before adding. The one thing to watch: the stock is underperforming over the past month and over three months.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on MTN Group Limited. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

MTNMTN Group

Revenue FY25$13.7B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG75 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+4%4

Revenue, next 1Y+10%6

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+13%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+14%9

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+55%9

EPS growth, FY27E+25%8

EPS growth, FY28E+24%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 75% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 13%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.8/10

Revenue grew 4%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 13%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 14%/yr over five years.9/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 25%/yr vs revenue 13%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A top-tier grower that's speeding up.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MTNMTN Group

Total return Current64.0%

Price return Current19.7%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE37 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-9%3

3-month return-15%2

YTD return+11%7

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high77%5

1-year return+24%7

3-year return+82%7

5-year return+48%6

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +82% over three years and +48% over five, ahead of 60% of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming so far this year (+11%).

WATCH

It's up 24% over the past year, but 23% below its 52-week high. That is a touch ahead of the market.

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-9%) and over three months (-15%).

BOTTOM LINE

Outperformer in a Drawdown

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on MTN Group Limited. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community