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Mueller Water Products, Inc. (MWA) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Mueller Water Products, Inc.

MWAMarket cap $3.34BPrice $21.4

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorIndustrials

IndustryMachinery

Makes fire hydrants, valves, and pipe fittings that keep water flowing to American cities. Roughly one in three fire hydrants in the US carries its name, making it a quiet monopoly on critical, century-old infrastructure most people never think about.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-15%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+5%5

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+3%4

Rev CAGR (3y)+2%2

Rev CAGR (5y)+1%2

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+29%8

EPS Growth Y+2-0%3

EPS Growth Y+3+3%4

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin21%8

Net Income Margin15%7

Free Cash Flow Margin12%6

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA-0.110

Efficiency

ROE22%8

ROA12%9

Earnings Stability1010

GEAR+STRONG69

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)146

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)136

P/BV3.05

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd97

EV/EBIT Fwd118

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield5.4%7

Dividend Yield1.3%4

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-10%2

3 month return-13%3

YTD return-10%3

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh69%3

1 year return-16%3

Long term

3 year return+72%7

5 year return+45%6

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.04

Volatility25%8

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin12%6

Free Cash Flow Yield5.4%7

Quality

ROCE20%9

Earnings Stability1010

Net Debt/EBITDA-0.110

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

MWAMueller Water Products

Revenue FY25$1.4B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK17 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+5%5

Revenue, next 1Y+3%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+2%2

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+1%2

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+29%8

EPS growth, FY27E-0%3

EPS growth, FY28E+3%4

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Revenue grew 5%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 2%/yr.

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 3%/yr vs revenue 2%/yr).

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 83% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 2%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 1%/yr, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK23 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-10%2

3-month return-13%3

YTD return-10%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high69%3

1-year return-16%3

3-year return+72%7

5-year return+45%6

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +72% over three years and +45% over five, ahead of 60% of the market.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

It's down 16% over the past year, now 31% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-10%), over three months (-13%) and so far this year (-10%).

BOTTOM LINE

Outperformer in a Drawdown

A proven multi-year compounder now in a meaningful pullback well below its 52-week high. This is the classic fork: either a buy-the-dip in an intact uptrend, or the early stage of a trend change. Wait for the short-term slide to stabilise before adding. The one thing to watch: the one-year trend is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Mueller Water Products, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

MWAMueller Water Products

Revenue FY25$1.4B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK17 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+5%5

Revenue, next 1Y+3%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+2%2

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+1%2

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+29%8

EPS growth, FY27E-0%3

EPS growth, FY28E+3%4

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Revenue grew 5%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 2%/yr.

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 3%/yr vs revenue 2%/yr).

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 83% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 2%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 1%/yr, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK23 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-10%2

3-month return-13%3

YTD return-10%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high69%3

1-year return-16%3

3-year return+72%7

5-year return+45%6

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +72% over three years and +45% over five, ahead of 60% of the market.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

It's down 16% over the past year, now 31% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-10%), over three months (-13%) and so far this year (-10%).

BOTTOM LINE

Outperformer in a Drawdown

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Mueller Water Products, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community