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National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

National Fuel Gas Company

NFGMarket cap $7.45BPrice $78.3

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorUtilities

IndustryGas Utilities

National Fuel Gas drills, transports, and delivers natural gas across the Appalachian Basin, running one of the few fully integrated systems in the industry. It owns the pipeline from wellhead to home, controlling costs most utilities can't touch.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-7%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+1%3

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+12%7

Rev CAGR (3y)+9%6

Rev CAGR (5y)+5%5

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+24%8

EPS Growth Y+2+5%5

EPS Growth Y+3+2%4

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin41%10

Net Income Margin27%9

Free Cash Flow Margin9%5

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA1.55

Efficiency

ROE20%8

ROA7%7

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+VERY STRONG95

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)109

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)107

P/BV1.97

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd69

EV/EBIT Fwd99

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield3.0%5

Dividend Yield2.8%7

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-5%5

3 month return-1%6

YTD return-0%5

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh82%6

1 year return-10%3

Long term

3 year return+65%6

5 year return+62%6

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.010

Volatility20%10

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin9%5

Free Cash Flow Yield3.0%5

Quality

ROCE12%6

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA1.55

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

NFGNational Fuel Gas

Revenue FY25$2.3B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE51 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+1%3

Revenue, next 1Y+12%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+9%6

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%5

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+24%8

EPS growth, FY27E+5%5

EPS growth, FY28E+2%4

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 1%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 9%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 5%/yr vs revenue 9%/yr).

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 51% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 9%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, about average versus companies worldwide.5/10

WEAKNESSES

Revenue grew 1%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Reaccelerating Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: the 3-year revenue record is weak.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE46 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-5%5

3-month return-1%6

YTD return-0%5

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high82%6

1-year return-10%3

3-year return+65%6

5-year return+62%6

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+65% over three years and +62% over five), roughly average for the market.

It's down 10% over the past year, now 18% below its 52-week high. That is right in line with the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-5%), over three months (-1%) and so far this year (+0%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Mixed Momentum

Horizons disagree or sit near the middle of the pack. Momentum investors may want a clearer trend before sizing up.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on National Fuel. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

NFGNational Fuel Gas

Revenue FY25$2.3B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE51 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+1%3

Revenue, next 1Y+12%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+9%6

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%5

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+24%8

EPS growth, FY27E+5%5

EPS growth, FY28E+2%4

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 1%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 9%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 5%/yr vs revenue 9%/yr).

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 51% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 9%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, about average versus companies worldwide.5/10

WEAKNESSES

Revenue grew 1%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Reaccelerating Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: the 3-year revenue record is weak.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE46 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-5%5

3-month return-1%6

YTD return-0%5

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high82%6

1-year return-10%3

3-year return+65%6

5-year return+62%6

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+65% over three years and +62% over five), roughly average for the market.

It's down 10% over the past year, now 18% below its 52-week high. That is right in line with the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-5%), over three months (-1%) and so far this year (+0%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Mixed Momentum

Horizons disagree or sit near the middle of the pack. Momentum investors may want a clearer trend before sizing up.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on National Fuel. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community