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Natera, Inc. (NTRA) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Natera, Inc.

NTRAMarket cap $57BPrice $395.6

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorHealthcare

IndustryBiotechnology

Runs genetic testing that screens for chromosomal disorders in unborn babies, tracks cancer DNA in the bloodstream, and flags organ transplant rejection early. Its Panorama test analyzes fetal DNA from a simple maternal blood draw, no needles near the womb required.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+118%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+41%10

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+26%9

Rev CAGR (3y)+22%9

Rev CAGR (5y)+19%9

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1Loss1

EPS Growth Y+2Loss1

EPS Growth Y+30%5

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin-11%1

Net Income Margin-7%1

Free Cash Flow Margin3%3

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

Efficiency

ROE-13%1

ROA-9%1

Earnings Stabilityna–

GEAR+WEAK16

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)na–

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)3811

P/BV31.31

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwdna–

EV/EBIT Fwdna–

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield0.1%3

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return+22%10

3 month return+44%10

YTD return+73%10

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh90%8

1 year return+130%10

Long term

3 year return+808%10

5 year return+247%9

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.95

Volatility48%3

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin3%3

Free Cash Flow Yield0.1%3

Quality

ROCE-16%1

Earnings Stabilityna–

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

NTRANatera

Revenue FY25$2.3B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG82 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+41%10

Revenue, next 1Y+26%9

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+22%9

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+19%9

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26ELoss1

EPS growth, FY27ELoss1

EPS growth, FY28E0%5

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 82% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 41%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

Revenue is set to grow 22%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.9/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 19%/yr over five years.9/10

WATCH

Revenue grew 41%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 22%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Top-Line Rocket

A top-tier grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY STRONG98 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+22%10

3-month return+44%10

YTD return+73%10

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high90%8

1-year return+130%10

3-year return+808%10

5-year return+247%9

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Magnificent long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +808% over three years and +247% over five, ahead of 90% of the market.

It's up 130% over the past year, but 10% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+22%), over three months (+44%) and so far this year (+73%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Momentum Leader

Short- and long-term returns both rank among the best globally, and the stock trades near its highs. The market is fully behind it — a core fit for momentum strategies.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Natera. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

NTRANatera

Revenue FY25$2.3B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG82 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+41%10

Revenue, next 1Y+26%9

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+22%9

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+19%9

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26ELoss1

EPS growth, FY27ELoss1

EPS growth, FY28E0%5

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 82% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 41%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

Revenue is set to grow 22%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.9/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 19%/yr over five years.9/10

WATCH

Revenue grew 41%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 22%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Top-Line Rocket

A top-tier grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY STRONG98 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+22%10

3-month return+44%10

YTD return+73%10

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high90%8

1-year return+130%10

3-year return+808%10

5-year return+247%9

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Magnificent long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +808% over three years and +247% over five, ahead of 90% of the market.

It's up 130% over the past year, but 10% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+22%), over three months (+44%) and so far this year (+73%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Momentum Leader

Short- and long-term returns both rank among the best globally, and the stock trades near its highs. The market is fully behind it — a core fit for momentum strategies.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Natera. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community