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Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.

OLLIMarket cap $5.12BPrice $86.1

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorConsumer

IndustryRetail

Sells closeout and surplus goods — from snacks to furniture — at 20-70% off retail, turning other retailers' overstock into treasure-hunt shopping. Over 500 stores strong, Ollie's proves "good stuff cheap" is a winning formula in any economy.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-31%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+13%8

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+11%6

Rev CAGR (3y)+11%7

Rev CAGR (5y)+7%6

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+19%8

EPS Growth Y+2+5%5

EPS Growth Y+3+10%7

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin11%5

Net Income Margin10%5

Free Cash Flow Margin8%5

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA1.06

Efficiency

ROE15%6

ROA9%8

Earnings Stability77

GEAR+AVERAGE63

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)194

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)164

P/BV2.75

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd135

EV/EBIT Fwd156

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield4.4%6

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return+12%10

3 month return+39%10

YTD return-21%2

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh65%3

1 year return-32%2

Long term

3 year return+15%4

5 year return+41%5

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.76

Volatility42%4

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin8%5

Free Cash Flow Yield4.4%6

Quality

ROCE12%7

Earnings Stability77

Net Debt/EBITDA1.06

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

OLLIOllie's Bargain Outlet Holdings

Revenue FY26$2.6B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE64 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+13%8

Revenue, next 1Y+11%6

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+11%7

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+7%6

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27E+19%8

EPS growth, FY28E+5%5

EPS growth, FY29E+10%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 13%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 70% of companies worldwide.8/10

Revenue grew 13%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 11%/yr.

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 10%/yr vs revenue 11%/yr).

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 64% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 11%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 7%/yr, ahead of 50% of companies worldwide.6/10

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE53 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+12%10

3-month return+39%10

YTD return-21%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high65%3

1-year return-32%2

3-year return+15%4

5-year return+41%5

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+12%) and over three months (+39%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+15% over three years and +41% over five), roughly average for the market.

WEAKNESSES

It's down 32% over the past year, now 35% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-21%).

BOTTOM LINE

Fresh Momentum

Short-term returns are strong but the long track record is thin. Momentum is building — confirmation from longer horizons would strengthen the case. The one thing to watch: the one-year trend is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

OLLIOllie's Bargain Outlet Holdings

Revenue FY26$2.6B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE64 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+13%8

Revenue, next 1Y+11%6

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+11%7

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+7%6

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27E+19%8

EPS growth, FY28E+5%5

EPS growth, FY29E+10%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 13%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 70% of companies worldwide.8/10

Revenue grew 13%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 11%/yr.

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 10%/yr vs revenue 11%/yr).

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 64% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 11%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 7%/yr, ahead of 50% of companies worldwide.6/10

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE53 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+12%10

3-month return+39%10

YTD return-21%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high65%3

1-year return-32%2

3-year return+15%4

5-year return+41%5

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+12%) and over three months (+39%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+15% over three years and +41% over five), roughly average for the market.

WEAKNESSES

It's down 32% over the past year, now 35% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-21%).

BOTTOM LINE

Fresh Momentum

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community