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Redwire Corporation (RDW) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Redwire Corporation

RDWMarket cap $2.55BPrice $10.2

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorIndustrials

IndustryAerospace & Defense

Builds spacecraft components and structures for satellites, space stations, and exploration missions — including the solar arrays powering the International Space Station. Redwire's hardware has flown on over 190 space missions, making it a quiet backbone of the modern space economy.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+28%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+28%10

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+42%10

Rev CAGR (3y)+26%9

Rev CAGR (5y)+30%10

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1Loss1

EPS Growth Y+2Loss1

EPS Growth Y+3Loss1

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin-40%1

Net Income Margin-57%1

Free Cash Flow Margin-23%2

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

Efficiency

ROE-20%1

ROA-14%1

Earnings Stabilityna–

GEAR+VERY WEAK10

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)na–

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)na–

P/BV1.68

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwdna–

EV/EBIT Fwdna–

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-3.9%2

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-9%3

3 month return-3%5

YTD return+35%9

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh38%1

1 year return+5%5

Long term

3 year return+257%10

5 year return+8%4

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta3.11

Volatility113%1

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-23%2

Free Cash Flow Yield-3.9%2

Quality

ROCE-11%1

Earnings Stabilityna–

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

RDWRedwire

Revenue FY25$335M

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG84 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+28%10

Revenue, next 1Y+42%10

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+26%9

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+30%10

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26ELoss1

EPS growth, FY27ELoss1

EPS growth, FY28ELoss1

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 84% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 28%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

Revenue is set to grow 26%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.10/10

Revenue grew 28%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 26%/yr.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 30%/yr over five years.10/10

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Top-Line Rocket

A top-tier grower. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK31 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-9%3

3-month return-3%5

YTD return+35%9

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high38%1

1-year return+5%5

3-year return+257%10

5-year return+8%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +257% over three years and +8% over five, ahead of 60% of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming so far this year (+35%).

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-3%).

WEAKNESSES

It's up 5% over the past year, but 62% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-9%).

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Compounder

Dependable multi-year returns with a calmer near-term tape. A reliable long-term trend rather than a short-term breakout. The one thing to watch: the one-year trend is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Redwire Corporation. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

RDWRedwire

Revenue FY25$335M

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG84 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+28%10

Revenue, next 1Y+42%10

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+26%9

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+30%10

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26ELoss1

EPS growth, FY27ELoss1

EPS growth, FY28ELoss1

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 84% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 28%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

Revenue is set to grow 26%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.10/10

Revenue grew 28%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 26%/yr.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 30%/yr over five years.10/10

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Top-Line Rocket

A top-tier grower. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK31 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-9%3

3-month return-3%5

YTD return+35%9

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high38%1

1-year return+5%5

3-year return+257%10

5-year return+8%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +257% over three years and +8% over five, ahead of 60% of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming so far this year (+35%).

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-3%).

WEAKNESSES

It's up 5% over the past year, but 62% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-9%).

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Compounder

Dependable multi-year returns with a calmer near-term tape. A reliable long-term trend rather than a short-term breakout. The one thing to watch: the one-year trend is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Redwire Corporation. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community