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Red Rock Resorts, Inc. (RRR) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Red Rock Resorts, Inc.

RRRMarket cap $3.01BPrice $52.0

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorConsumer

IndustryHotels & Leisure

Runs casino resorts across Las Vegas, dominating the local market instead of chasing Strip tourists. Its Station Casinos brand caters to Vegas residents, making it the go-to gambling option for the very people who live where everyone else visits.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-9%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+7%6

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+0%3

Rev CAGR (3y)+4%3

Rev CAGR (5y)+4%3

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1-10%3

EPS Growth Y+2+41%9

EPS Growth Y+3+61%10

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin29%9

Net Income Margin8%5

Free Cash Flow Margin10%6

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA4.32

Efficiency

ROE90%10

ROA8%8

Earnings Stability44

GEAR+AVERAGE45

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)175

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)89

P/BV30.31

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd88

EV/EBIT Fwd127

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield3.7%5

Dividend Yield2.0%5

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-8%3

3 month return-21%2

YTD return-14%3

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh77%4

1 year return-7%4

Long term

3 year return+44%5

5 year return+20%4

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.95

Volatility35%6

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin10%6

Free Cash Flow Yield3.7%5

Quality

ROCE15%8

Earnings Stability44

Net Debt/EBITDA4.32

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

RRRRed Rock Resorts

Revenue FY25$2.0B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK29 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+7%6

Revenue, next 1Y+0%3

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-10%3

EPS growth, FY27E+41%9

EPS growth, FY28E+61%10

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Revenue grew 7%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 4%/yr.

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 41%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 10% next year.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 71% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

Growth is a weak point here. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK19 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-8%3

3-month return-21%2

YTD return-14%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high77%4

1-year return-7%4

3-year return+44%5

5-year return+20%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+44% over three years and +20% over five), roughly average for the market.

It's down 7% over the past year, now 23% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-8%), over three months (-21%) and so far this year (-14%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the stock is underperforming over the past month, over three months and so far this year.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Red Rock Resorts, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

RRRRed Rock Resorts

Revenue FY25$2.0B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK29 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+7%6

Revenue, next 1Y+0%3

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-10%3

EPS growth, FY27E+41%9

EPS growth, FY28E+61%10

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Revenue grew 7%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 4%/yr.

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 41%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 10% next year.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 71% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

Growth is a weak point here. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK19 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-8%3

3-month return-21%2

YTD return-14%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high77%4

1-year return-7%4

3-year return+44%5

5-year return+20%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+44% over three years and +20% over five), roughly average for the market.

It's down 7% over the past year, now 23% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-8%), over three months (-21%) and so far this year (-14%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Red Rock Resorts, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community