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SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. (SITE) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.

SITEMarket cap $3.77BPrice $86.4

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorIndustrials

IndustryTrading & Distribution

Supplies landscaping professionals with everything from mulch and irrigation parts to fertilizer and hardscapes across the US and Canada. It's the largest player in a fragmented market, growing fast partly by buying up local distributors one acquisition at a time.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-28%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+5%5

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+4%4

Rev CAGR (3y)+4%3

Rev CAGR (5y)+10%7

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+61%10

EPS Growth Y+2+18%8

EPS Growth Y+3+23%8

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin5%3

Net Income Margin3%3

Free Cash Flow Margin5%4

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA1.65

Efficiency

ROE10%4

ROA5%6

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+WEAK21

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)194

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)145

P/BV2.26

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd115

EV/EBIT Fwd175

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield6.9%8

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-13%2

3 month return-20%2

YTD return-31%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh51%1

1 year return-29%2

Long term

3 year return-46%1

5 year return-58%1

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.13

Volatility42%4

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin5%4

Free Cash Flow Yield6.9%8

Quality

ROCE10%5

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA1.65

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

SITESiteOne Landscape Supply

Revenue FY25$4.5B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE46 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+5%5

Revenue, next 1Y+4%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+10%7

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+61%10

EPS growth, FY27E+18%8

EPS growth, FY28E+23%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 10%/yr over five years.7/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 23%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 46% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

Revenue grew 5%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 4%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth is only about average.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK2 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-13%2

3-month return-20%2

YTD return-31%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high51%1

1-year return-29%2

3-year return-46%1

5-year return-58%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-46% over three years and -58% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 29% over the past year, now 49% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-13%), over three months (-20%) and so far this year (-31%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

SITESiteOne Landscape Supply

Revenue FY25$4.5B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE46 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+5%5

Revenue, next 1Y+4%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+10%7

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+61%10

EPS growth, FY27E+18%8

EPS growth, FY28E+23%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 10%/yr over five years.7/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 23%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 46% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

Revenue grew 5%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 4%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth is only about average.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK2 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-13%2

3-month return-20%2

YTD return-31%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high51%1

1-year return-29%2

3-year return-46%1

5-year return-58%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-46% over three years and -58% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 29% over the past year, now 49% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-13%), over three months (-20%) and so far this year (-31%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community