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SM Prime Holdings, Inc. (SMPH) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

SM Prime Holdings, Inc.

SMPHMarket cap $7.19BPrice $0.3

Country🇵🇭Philippines

SectorReal Estate

IndustryReal Estate Dev

Builds and operates malls, residential communities, and offices across the Philippines, dominating a market where it controls more retail floor space than any competitor. Its malls double as flood shelters during typhoons, cementing its role in Filipino daily life.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-34%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+8%6

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)-5%1

Rev CAGR (3y)+5%4

Rev CAGR (5y)+4%3

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1-5%3

EPS Growth Y+2+4%5

EPS Growth Y+3+5%5

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin51%10

Net Income Margin34%9

Free Cash Flow Margin55%10

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA4.72

Efficiency

ROE11%5

ROA5%6

Earnings Stability88

GEAR+STRONG80

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)99

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)89

P/BV1.010

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd97

EV/EBIT Fwd118

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield17.8%10

Dividend Yield2.6%6

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-13%1

3 month return-14%3

YTD return-29%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh67%3

1 year return-29%2

Long term

3 year return-45%1

5 year return-50%1

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.48

Volatility33%6

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin55%10

Free Cash Flow Yield17.8%10

Quality

ROCE8%5

Earnings Stability88

Net Debt/EBITDA4.72

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

SMPHSM Prime Holdings

Revenue FY25$2.4B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK23 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+8%6

Revenue, next 1Y-5%1

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+5%4

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-5%3

EPS growth, FY27E+4%5

EPS growth, FY28E+5%5

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Revenue grew 8%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 5%/yr.

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 4%/yr vs revenue 5%/yr). One year dips: EPS falls 5% next year.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 77% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 5%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that is slowing. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

SMPHSM Prime Holdings

Total return Current−52.4%

Price return Current−55.8%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK5 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-13%1

3-month return-14%3

YTD return-29%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high67%3

1-year return-29%2

3-year return-45%1

5-year return-50%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-45% over three years and -50% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 29% over the past year, now 33% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-13%), over three months (-14%) and so far this year (-29%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on SM Prime Holdings, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

SMPHSM Prime Holdings

Revenue FY25$2.4B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK23 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+8%6

Revenue, next 1Y-5%1

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+5%4

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-5%3

EPS growth, FY27E+4%5

EPS growth, FY28E+5%5

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Revenue grew 8%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 5%/yr.

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 4%/yr vs revenue 5%/yr). One year dips: EPS falls 5% next year.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 77% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 5%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that is slowing. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

SMPHSM Prime Holdings

Total return Current−52.4%

Price return Current−55.8%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK5 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-13%1

3-month return-14%3

YTD return-29%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high67%3

1-year return-29%2

3-year return-45%1

5-year return-50%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-45% over three years and -50% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 29% over the past year, now 33% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-13%), over three months (-14%) and so far this year (-29%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on SM Prime Holdings, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community