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Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Steel Dynamics, Inc.

STLDMarket cap $34BPrice $234.1

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorMaterials

IndustryMetals & Mining

Manufactures steel using electric arc furnaces instead of traditional blast furnaces, melting scrap metal into new products faster and cleaner than legacy mills. It's now one of America's largest steel producers, built almost entirely on recycled metal.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+65%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-7%1

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+32%9

Rev CAGR (3y)+11%7

Rev CAGR (5y)+4%3

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+122%10

EPS Growth Y+2+13%7

EPS Growth Y+3-15%3

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin10%4

Net Income Margin8%5

Free Cash Flow Margin5%4

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA1.45

Efficiency

ROE18%7

ROA10%8

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+AVERAGE48

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)118

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)145

P/BV3.64

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd97

EV/EBIT Fwd118

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield2.8%4

Dividend Yield0.9%3

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-2%7

3 month return+3%7

YTD return+39%9

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh81%6

1 year return+61%9

Long term

3 year return+125%8

5 year return+326%10

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.32

Volatility37%5

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin5%4

Free Cash Flow Yield2.8%4

Quality

ROCE14%7

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA1.45

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

STLDSteel Dynamics

Revenue FY25$18.2B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE53 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-7%1

Revenue, next 1Y+32%9

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+11%7

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+122%10

EPS growth, FY27E+13%7

EPS growth, FY28E-15%3

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 11%/yr from here.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 53% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 11%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 13%/yr vs revenue 11%/yr). One year dips: EPS falls 15% in year 3.

WEAKNESSES

Revenue fell 7%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

STRONG84 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-2%7

3-month return+3%7

YTD return+39%9

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high81%6

1-year return+61%9

3-year return+125%8

5-year return+326%10

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Magnificent long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +125% over three years and +326% over five, ahead of 80% of the market.

It's up 61% over the past year, but 19% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (-2%), over three months (+3%) and so far this year (+39%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Momentum Leader

Short- and long-term returns both rank among the best globally. The market is behind it — a core fit for momentum strategies.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Steel. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

STLDSteel Dynamics

Revenue FY25$18.2B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE53 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-7%1

Revenue, next 1Y+32%9

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+11%7

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+122%10

EPS growth, FY27E+13%7

EPS growth, FY28E-15%3

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 11%/yr from here.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 53% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 11%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 13%/yr vs revenue 11%/yr). One year dips: EPS falls 15% in year 3.

WEAKNESSES

Revenue fell 7%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

STRONG84 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-2%7

3-month return+3%7

YTD return+39%9

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high81%6

1-year return+61%9

3-year return+125%8

5-year return+326%10

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Magnificent long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +125% over three years and +326% over five, ahead of 80% of the market.

It's up 61% over the past year, but 19% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (-2%), over three months (+3%) and so far this year (+39%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Momentum Leader

Short- and long-term returns both rank among the best globally. The market is behind it — a core fit for momentum strategies.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Steel. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community