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StubHub Holdings, Inc. (STUB) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

StubHub Holdings, Inc.

STUBMarket cap $2.19BPrice $5.7

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorTechnology

IndustryEntertainment

StubHub runs the world's largest ticket marketplace for live events, letting fans buy and sell seats to concerts, sports, and theater across 200+ countries. Scalping built an empire — this platform turned it into a legitimate multi-billion-dollar business.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-67%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+19%9

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+16%7

Rev CAGR (3y)+11%7

Rev CAGR (5y)+14%9

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+10%5

EPS Growth Y+2+9%6

EPS Growth Y+3+13%7

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin-68%1

Net Income Margin-91%1

Free Cash Flow Margin33%9

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

Efficiency

ROE-153%1

ROA-32%1

Earnings Stability22

GEAR+AVERAGE36

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)99

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)610

P/BV1.38

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd59

EV/EBIT Fwd127

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield29.0%10

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-13%1

3 month return-58%1

YTD return-58%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh27%1

1 year return-67%1

Long term

3 year return-74%1

5 year return-74%1

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.91

Volatility77%1

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin33%9

Free Cash Flow Yield29.0%10

Quality

ROCE-33%1

Earnings Stability22

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

STUBStubHub Holdings

Revenue FY25$1.7B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG75 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+19%9

Revenue, next 1Y+16%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+11%7

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+14%9

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E0%5

EPS growth, FY27E+9%6

EPS growth, FY28E+13%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 75% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 19%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 80% of companies worldwide.9/10

Revenue is set to grow 11%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.8/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 14%/yr over five years.9/10

WATCH

Revenue grew 19%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 11%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Top-Line Rocket

A top-tier grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK1 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-13%1

3-month return-58%1

YTD return-58%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high27%1

1-year return-67%1

3-year return-74%1

5-year return-74%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-74% over three years and -74% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 67% over the past year, now 73% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-13%), over three months (-58%) and so far this year (-58%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on StubHub Holdings, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

STUBStubHub Holdings

Revenue FY25$1.7B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG75 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+19%9

Revenue, next 1Y+16%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+11%7

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+14%9

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E0%5

EPS growth, FY27E+9%6

EPS growth, FY28E+13%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 75% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 19%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 80% of companies worldwide.9/10

Revenue is set to grow 11%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.8/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 14%/yr over five years.9/10

WATCH

Revenue grew 19%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 11%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Top-Line Rocket

A top-tier grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK1 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-13%1

3-month return-58%1

YTD return-58%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high27%1

1-year return-67%1

3-year return-74%1

5-year return-74%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-74% over three years and -74% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 67% over the past year, now 73% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-13%), over three months (-58%) and so far this year (-58%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on StubHub Holdings, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community