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Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Molson Coors Beverage Company

TAPMarket cap $6.90BPrice $37.0

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorConsumer

IndustryBeverages

Brews and sells beer brands like Coors, Miller, and Blue Moon across dozens of countries. Formed by a historic merger of two rival American brewers, it now battles craft beer and seltzers to keep drinkers loyal.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-20%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+1%3

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)-1%2

Rev CAGR (3y)-0%1

Rev CAGR (5y)+0%1

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1-11%3

EPS Growth Y+2-1%3

EPS Growth Y+3+1%4

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin14%6

Net Income Margin-21%1

Free Cash Flow Margin12%6

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA2.54

Efficiency

ROE-20%1

ROA-9%1

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+WEAK30

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)89

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)89

P/BV0.710

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd69

EV/EBIT Fwd99

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield19.2%10

Dividend Yield5.2%9

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-5%5

3 month return-4%5

YTD return-18%2

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh70%3

1 year return-15%3

Long term

3 year return-30%1

5 year return-7%3

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.29

Volatility28%7

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin12%6

Free Cash Flow Yield19.2%10

Quality

ROCE7%4

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA2.54

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

TAPMolson Coors Beverage

Revenue FY25$11.6B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK3 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+1%3

Revenue, next 1Y-1%2

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR-0%1

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+0%1

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-11%3

EPS growth, FY27E-1%3

EPS growth, FY28E+1%4

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 97% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 1%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

Revenue is set to hold flat over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.1/10

Revenue grew 1%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to slip around 0.1%/yr from here.

Over five years revenue is set to hold flat, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business edging into decline. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK16 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-5%5

3-month return-4%5

YTD return-18%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high70%3

1-year return-15%3

3-year return-30%1

5-year return-7%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-5%) and over three months (-4%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-30% over three years and -6.8% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 15% over the past year, now 30% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-18%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Molson Coors. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

TAPMolson Coors Beverage

Revenue FY25$11.6B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK3 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+1%3

Revenue, next 1Y-1%2

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR-0%1

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+0%1

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-11%3

EPS growth, FY27E-1%3

EPS growth, FY28E+1%4

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 97% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 1%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

Revenue is set to hold flat over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.1/10

Revenue grew 1%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to slip around 0.1%/yr from here.

Over five years revenue is set to hold flat, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business edging into decline. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK16 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-5%5

3-month return-4%5

YTD return-18%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high70%3

1-year return-15%3

3-year return-30%1

5-year return-7%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-5%) and over three months (-4%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-30% over three years and -6.8% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 15% over the past year, now 30% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-18%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Molson Coors. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community