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Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (TFPM) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp.

TFPMMarket cap $6.33BPrice $30.7

Country🇨🇦Canada

SectorMaterials

IndustryMetals & Mining

Buys royalties and streams on gold, silver, and other metals instead of digging for them itself. Collects a cut of mine production for decades, skipping the drilling risk while cashing in on every ounce discovered.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return0%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+37%10

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+28%9

Rev CAGR (3y)+15%8

Rev CAGR (5y)+5%4

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+10%5

EPS Growth Y+2-1%3

EPS Growth Y+3+20%8

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin62%10

Net Income Margin84%10

Free Cash Flow Margin-46%1

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA0.57

Efficiency

ROE20%8

ROA19%10

Earnings Stability33

GEAR+AVERAGE52

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)146

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)203

P/BV2.85

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd163

EV/EBIT Fwd213

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-3.6%2

Dividend Yield0.8%3

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-10%3

3 month return+5%8

YTD return-7%4

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh74%4

1 year return+3%5

Long term

3 year return+145%8

5 year return+264%9

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.81

Volatility46%4

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-46%1

Free Cash Flow Yield-3.6%2

Quality

ROCE14%7

Earnings Stability33

Net Debt/EBITDA0.57

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

TFPMTriple Flag Precious Metals

Revenue FY25$269M

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG68 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+37%10

Revenue, next 1Y+28%9

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+15%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%4

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E0%5

EPS growth, FY27E-1%3

EPS growth, FY28E+20%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 68% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 37%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

Revenue is set to grow 15%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

WATCH

Revenue grew 37%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 15%/yr.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, behind 60% of companies worldwide.4/10

WEAKNESSES

Earnings are set to fall even as revenue grows (EPS about 0%/yr vs revenue 15%/yr).

BOTTOM LINE

Maturing Grower

A top-tier grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: earnings are forecast to fall.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

TFPMTriple Flag Precious Metals

Total return Current164%

Price return Current153%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE60 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-10%3

3-month return+5%8

YTD return-7%4

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high74%4

1-year return+3%5

3-year return+145%8

5-year return+264%9

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Magnificent long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +145% over three years and +264% over five, ahead of 80% of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over three months (+5%).

WATCH

It's up 3% over the past year, but 26% below its 52-week high. That is right in line with the market.

Returns sit at the market level so far this year (-7%).

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-10%).

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Compounder

Dependable multi-year returns with a calmer near-term tape. A reliable long-term trend rather than a short-term breakout. The one thing to watch: the stock is underperforming over the past month.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

TFPMTriple Flag Precious Metals

Revenue FY25$269M

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG68 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+37%10

Revenue, next 1Y+28%9

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+15%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%4

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E0%5

EPS growth, FY27E-1%3

EPS growth, FY28E+20%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 68% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 37%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

Revenue is set to grow 15%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

WATCH

Revenue grew 37%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 15%/yr.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, behind 60% of companies worldwide.4/10

WEAKNESSES

Earnings are set to fall even as revenue grows (EPS about 0%/yr vs revenue 15%/yr).

BOTTOM LINE

Maturing Grower

A top-tier grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: earnings are forecast to fall.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

TFPMTriple Flag Precious Metals

Total return Current164%

Price return Current153%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE60 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-10%3

3-month return+5%8

YTD return-7%4

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high74%4

1-year return+3%5

3-year return+145%8

5-year return+264%9

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Magnificent long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +145% over three years and +264% over five, ahead of 80% of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over three months (+5%).

WATCH

It's up 3% over the past year, but 26% below its 52-week high. That is right in line with the market.

Returns sit at the market level so far this year (-7%).

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-10%).

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Compounder

Dependable multi-year returns with a calmer near-term tape. A reliable long-term trend rather than a short-term breakout. The one thing to watch: the stock is underperforming over the past month.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community