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The Timken Company (TKR) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

The Timken Company

TKRMarket cap $7.92BPrice $114.3

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorIndustrials

IndustryMachinery

Makes precision bearings and power transmission gear that keep factories, trains, and wind turbines running without seizing up. Over a century in, Timken's bearings still outlast competitors in the harshest industrial environments, which is why heavy machinery makers keep coming back.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+58%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+1%3

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+6%4

Rev CAGR (3y)+4%3

Rev CAGR (5y)+3%3

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+53%9

EPS Growth Y+2+15%8

EPS Growth Y+3+18%8

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin14%6

Net Income Margin5%4

Free Cash Flow Margin8%5

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA1.94

Efficiency

ROE8%4

ROA4%5

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+WEAK25

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)175

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)135

P/BV2.56

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd115

EV/EBIT Fwd156

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield4.9%6

Dividend Yield1.3%4

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-4%5

3 month return-17%2

YTD return+37%9

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh78%5

1 year return+56%9

Long term

3 year return+64%6

5 year return+82%7

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.04

Volatility34%6

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin8%5

Free Cash Flow Yield4.9%6

Quality

ROCE12%6

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA1.94

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

TKRThe Timken

Revenue FY25$4.6B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK29 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+1%3

Revenue, next 1Y+6%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+3%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+53%9

EPS growth, FY27E+15%8

EPS growth, FY28E+18%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 0.6%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 4%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 18%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 71% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 0.6%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 3%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: the 3-year revenue record is weak.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE47 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-4%5

3-month return-17%2

YTD return+37%9

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high78%5

1-year return+56%9

3-year return+64%6

5-year return+82%7

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +64% over three years and +82% over five, ahead of 60% of the market.

It's up 56% over the past year, but 22% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming so far this year (+37%).

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-4%).

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming over three months (-17%).

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Compounder

Dependable multi-year returns with a calmer near-term tape. A reliable long-term trend rather than a short-term breakout. The one thing to watch: the stock is underperforming over three months.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on The Timken Company. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

TKRThe Timken

Revenue FY25$4.6B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK29 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+1%3

Revenue, next 1Y+6%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+3%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+53%9

EPS growth, FY27E+15%8

EPS growth, FY28E+18%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 0.6%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 4%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 18%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 71% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 0.6%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 3%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: the 3-year revenue record is weak.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE47 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-4%5

3-month return-17%2

YTD return+37%9

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high78%5

1-year return+56%9

3-year return+64%6

5-year return+82%7

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +64% over three years and +82% over five, ahead of 60% of the market.

It's up 56% over the past year, but 22% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming so far this year (+37%).

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-4%).

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming over three months (-17%).

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Compounder

Dependable multi-year returns with a calmer near-term tape. A reliable long-term trend rather than a short-term breakout. The one thing to watch: the stock is underperforming over three months.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on The Timken Company. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community