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Turning Point Brands, Inc. (TPB) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

Turning Point Brands, Inc.

TPBMarket cap $1.17BPrice $58.3

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorConsumer

IndustryTobacco

Sells rolling papers, chewing tobacco, and vapor products like Zig-Zag through brands built for smokers looking beyond big tobacco. It's the quiet number two in "alternative" smoking accessories, thriving in the shadow of Marlboro's giants.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-36%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+13%8

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+23%8

Rev CAGR (3y)+23%9

Rev CAGR (5y)+25%10

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1-50%1

EPS Growth Y+2+33%9

EPS Growth Y+3+67%10

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin13%5

Net Income Margin9%5

Free Cash Flow Margin4%4

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA0.37

Efficiency

ROE14%6

ROA8%8

Earnings Stability44

GEAR+AVERAGE52

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)431

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)174

P/BV2.75

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd153

EV/EBIT Fwd194

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield1.7%4

Dividend Yield0.5%2

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-22%1

3 month return-33%1

YTD return-46%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh40%1

1 year return-35%1

Long term

3 year return+160%9

5 year return+26%5

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.86

Volatility56%2

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin4%4

Free Cash Flow Yield1.7%4

Quality

ROCE10%6

Earnings Stability44

Net Debt/EBITDA0.37

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

TPBTurning Point Brands

Revenue FY25$463M

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY STRONG89 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+13%8

Revenue, next 1Y+23%8

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+23%9

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+25%10

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-50%1

EPS growth, FY27E+33%9

EPS growth, FY28E+67%10

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 89% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 13%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 70% of companies worldwide.8/10

Revenue is set to grow 23%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.9/10

Revenue grew 13%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 23%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 25%/yr over five years.10/10

WATCH

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 33%/yr vs revenue 23%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 50% next year.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Reaccelerating Grower

A top-tier grower that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: the earnings path has a down year.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK11 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-22%1

3-month return-33%1

YTD return-46%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high40%1

1-year return-35%1

3-year return+160%9

5-year return+26%5

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +160% over three years and +26% over five, ahead of 60% of the market.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

It's down 35% over the past year, now 60% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-22%), over three months (-33%) and so far this year (-46%).

BOTTOM LINE

Outperformer in a Drawdown

A proven multi-year compounder now in a meaningful pullback well below its 52-week high. This is the classic fork: either a buy-the-dip in an intact uptrend, or the early stage of a trend change. Wait for the short-term slide to stabilise before adding. The one thing to watch: the one-year trend is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Turning Point Brands, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

TPBTurning Point Brands

Revenue FY25$463M

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY STRONG89 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+13%8

Revenue, next 1Y+23%8

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+23%9

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+25%10

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-50%1

EPS growth, FY27E+33%9

EPS growth, FY28E+67%10

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 89% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 13%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 70% of companies worldwide.8/10

Revenue is set to grow 23%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.9/10

Revenue grew 13%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 23%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 25%/yr over five years.10/10

WATCH

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 33%/yr vs revenue 23%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 50% next year.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Reaccelerating Grower

A top-tier grower that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: the earnings path has a down year.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK11 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-22%1

3-month return-33%1

YTD return-46%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high40%1

1-year return-35%1

3-year return+160%9

5-year return+26%5

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +160% over three years and +26% over five, ahead of 60% of the market.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

It's down 35% over the past year, now 60% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-22%), over three months (-33%) and so far this year (-46%).

BOTTOM LINE

Outperformer in a Drawdown

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Turning Point Brands, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community