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PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk (TPIA) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk

TPIAMarket cap $8.34BPrice $0.1

Country🇮🇩Indonesia

SectorMaterials

IndustryChemicals

Produces petrochemicals like ethylene and polyethylene that become the plastics, packaging, and materials powering Indonesia's economy. It's Southeast Asia's largest integrated petrochemical producer, giving it massive pricing power as the region's industrial backbone.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-77%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+43%10

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+76%10

Rev CAGR (3y)+23%9

Rev CAGR (5y)+14%8

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1-49%2

EPS Growth Y+2-23%2

EPS Growth Y+3-24%2

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin2%2

Net Income Margin1%2

Free Cash Flow Margin-4%2

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA5.32

Efficiency

ROE3%2

ROA2%3

Earnings Stability22

GEAR+WEAK22

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)146

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)203

P/BV2.17

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd78

EV/EBIT Fwd99

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-4.4%2

Dividend Yield0.3%1

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-11%2

3 month return-3%5

YTD return-75%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh20%1

1 year return-77%1

Long term

3 year return-37%1

5 year return-5%3

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.52

Volatility86%1

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-4%2

Free Cash Flow Yield-4.4%2

Quality

ROCE2%2

Earnings Stability22

Net Debt/EBITDA5.32

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

TPIAPT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk

Revenue FY25$7.0B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG80 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+43%10

Revenue, next 1Y+76%10

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+23%9

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+14%8

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-49%2

EPS growth, FY27E-23%2

EPS growth, FY28E-24%2

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 80% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 43%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

Revenue is set to grow 23%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.9/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 14%/yr over five years.8/10

WATCH

Revenue grew 43%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 23%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

Earnings are set to fall even as revenue grows (EPS about -24%/yr vs revenue 23%/yr).

BOTTOM LINE

Maturing Grower

A top-tier grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: earnings are forecast to fall.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

TPIAPT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk

Total return Current30.9%

Price return Current23.3%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK7 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-11%2

3-month return-3%5

YTD return-75%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high20%1

1-year return-77%1

3-year return-37%1

5-year return-5%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-3%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-37% over three years and -4.7% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 77% over the past year, now 80% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-11%) and so far this year (-75%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Chandra Asri. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

TPIAPT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk

Revenue FY25$7.0B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG80 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+43%10

Revenue, next 1Y+76%10

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+23%9

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+14%8

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-49%2

EPS growth, FY27E-23%2

EPS growth, FY28E-24%2

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 80% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 43%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

Revenue is set to grow 23%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.9/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 14%/yr over five years.8/10

WATCH

Revenue grew 43%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 23%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

Earnings are set to fall even as revenue grows (EPS about -24%/yr vs revenue 23%/yr).

BOTTOM LINE

Maturing Grower

A top-tier grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: earnings are forecast to fall.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

TPIAPT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk

Total return Current30.9%

Price return Current23.3%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK7 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-11%2

3-month return-3%5

YTD return-75%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high20%1

1-year return-77%1

3-year return-37%1

5-year return-5%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-3%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-37% over three years and -4.7% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 77% over the past year, now 80% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-11%) and so far this year (-75%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Chandra Asri. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community