Loading stock…

Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Trinity Industries, Inc.

TRNMarket cap $2.02BPrice $25.4

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorIndustrials

IndustryMachinery

Manufactures and leases railcars that haul everything from grain to crude oil across North America. Owns one of the largest railcar fleets on the continent, giving it steady leasing income even when railcar sales slow down.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-7%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+3%4

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)-5%1

Rev CAGR (3y)-6%1

Rev CAGR (5y)-3%1

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+39%9

EPS Growth Y+2-1%3

EPS Growth Y+3+9%6

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin16%6

Net Income Margin17%7

Free Cash Flow Margin-17%2

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA8.11

Efficiency

ROE32%9

ROA4%5

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+VERY WEAK13

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)410

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)107

P/BV1.87

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd97

EV/EBIT Fwd146

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-17.4%1

Dividend Yield4.9%9

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-9%3

3 month return-25%1

YTD return-1%5

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh66%3

1 year return-6%4

Long term

3 year return+32%5

5 year return+8%4

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.94

Volatility35%6

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-17%2

Free Cash Flow Yield-17.4%1

Quality

ROCE4%3

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA8.11

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

TRNTrinity Industries

Revenue FY25$3.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK5 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+3%4

Revenue, next 1Y-5%1

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR-6%1

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR-3%1

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+39%9

EPS growth, FY27E-1%3

EPS growth, FY28E+9%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 9%/yr vs revenue -6%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 1% in year 2.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 95% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to shrink 6%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.1/10

Revenue grew 3%/yr over the last 3 years, but it is set to shrink 6%/yr from here.

Over five years revenue is set to shrink 3%/yr, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business heading into decline. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK14 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-9%3

3-month return-25%1

YTD return-1%5

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high66%3

1-year return-6%4

3-year return+32%5

5-year return+8%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+32% over three years and +8.4% over five), roughly average for the market.

Returns sit at the market level so far this year (-1%).

WEAKNESSES

It's down 6% over the past year, now 34% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-9%) and over three months (-25%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the one-year trend is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Trinity Industries, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community

Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

TRNTrinity Industries

Revenue FY25$3.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK5 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+3%4

Revenue, next 1Y-5%1

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR-6%1

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR-3%1

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+39%9

EPS growth, FY27E-1%3

EPS growth, FY28E+9%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 9%/yr vs revenue -6%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 1% in year 2.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 95% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to shrink 6%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.1/10

Revenue grew 3%/yr over the last 3 years, but it is set to shrink 6%/yr from here.

Over five years revenue is set to shrink 3%/yr, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business heading into decline. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK14 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-9%3

3-month return-25%1

YTD return-1%5

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high66%3

1-year return-6%4

3-year return+32%5

5-year return+8%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+32% over three years and +8.4% over five), roughly average for the market.

Returns sit at the market level so far this year (-1%).

WEAKNESSES

It's down 6% over the past year, now 34% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-9%) and over three months (-25%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Trinity Industries, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community