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UFP Industries, Inc. (UFPI) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

UFP Industries, Inc.

UFPIMarket cap $4.21BPrice $76.4

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorIndustrials

IndustryBuilding Products

UFP Industries manufactures wood and wood-alternative products for construction, retail, and packaging markets. It quietly supplies the lumber behind Home Depot decking and new-home framing, turning basic timber into a multibillion-dollar industrial empire.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-15%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-13%1

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)-0%2

Rev CAGR (3y)+4%3

Rev CAGR (5y)+4%3

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1-4%3

EPS Growth Y+2+15%7

EPS Growth Y+3+17%8

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin5%3

Net Income Margin4%3

Free Cash Flow Margin4%4

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA-0.410

Efficiency

ROE8%4

ROA6%7

Earnings Stability44

GEAR+WEAK30

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)156

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)126

P/BV1.48

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd88

EV/EBIT Fwd137

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield6.3%7

Dividend Yield1.9%5

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-8%3

3 month return-7%4

YTD return-15%3

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh66%3

1 year return-15%3

Long term

3 year return-21%2

5 year return+13%4

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.76

Volatility30%7

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin4%4

Free Cash Flow Yield6.3%7

Quality

ROCE9%5

Earnings Stability44

Net Debt/EBITDA-0.410

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

UFPIUFP Industries

Revenue FY25$6.3B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK17 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-13%1

Revenue, next 1Y-0%2

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-4%3

EPS growth, FY27E+15%7

EPS growth, FY28E+17%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 4%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 15%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 4% next year.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 83% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 13%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK14 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-8%3

3-month return-7%4

YTD return-15%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high66%3

1-year return-15%3

3-year return-21%2

5-year return+13%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-7%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-21% over three years and +13% over five), behind 70% of the market.

It's down 15% over the past year, now 34% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-8%) and so far this year (-15%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on UFP Industries, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

UFPIUFP Industries

Revenue FY25$6.3B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK17 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-13%1

Revenue, next 1Y-0%2

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-4%3

EPS growth, FY27E+15%7

EPS growth, FY28E+17%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 4%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 15%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 4% next year.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 83% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 13%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK14 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-8%3

3-month return-7%4

YTD return-15%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high66%3

1-year return-15%3

3-year return-21%2

5-year return+13%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-7%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-21% over three years and +13% over five), behind 70% of the market.

It's down 15% over the past year, now 34% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-8%) and so far this year (-15%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on UFP Industries, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community