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Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation

VACMarket cap $3.60BPrice $104.6

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorConsumer

IndustryHotels & Leisure

Sells timeshare vacations and manages resort properties under the Marriott, Westin, and Sheraton brands. It's the largest pure-play vacation ownership company on Earth, turning weeklong getaways into a multi-decade revenue stream through owners who keep paying maintenance fees for life.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+60%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+0%3

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+9%6

Rev CAGR (3y)+5%4

Rev CAGR (5y)+4%3

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+10%5

EPS Growth Y+2+11%7

EPS Growth Y+3-4%3

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin13%5

Net Income Margin-10%1

Free Cash Flow Margin3%3

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA8.91

Efficiency

ROE-15%1

ROA-3%1

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+VERY WEAK10

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)108

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)117

P/BV1.77

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd116

EV/EBIT Fwd175

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield2.8%4

Dividend Yield3.1%7

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-1%7

3 month return+6%8

YTD return+87%10

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh80%5

1 year return+69%9

Long term

3 year return+26%4

5 year return-25%2

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.81

Volatility61%2

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin3%3

Free Cash Flow Yield2.8%4

Quality

ROCE5%3

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA8.91

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

VACMarriott Vacations Worldwide

Revenue FY25$3.3B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK31 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+0%3

Revenue, next 1Y+9%6

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+5%4

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E0%5

EPS growth, FY27E+11%7

EPS growth, FY28E-4%3

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years and is set to grow 5%/yr from here.

WATCH

Revenue is set to grow 5%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 69% of companies worldwide.

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE55 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-1%7

3-month return+6%8

YTD return+87%10

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high80%5

1-year return+69%9

3-year return+26%4

5-year return-25%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It's up 69% over the past year, but 20% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (-1%), over three months (+6%) and so far this year (+87%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (+26% over three years and -25% over five), behind 70% of the market.

BOTTOM LINE

Early Turnaround

A poor multi-year track record but a sharp recent rally. Momentum is turning up, yet the trend is young and unproven — it needs follow-through to confirm rather than fade. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

VACMarriott Vacations Worldwide

Revenue FY25$3.3B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK31 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+0%3

Revenue, next 1Y+9%6

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+5%4

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E0%5

EPS growth, FY27E+11%7

EPS growth, FY28E-4%3

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years and is set to grow 5%/yr from here.

WATCH

Revenue is set to grow 5%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 69% of companies worldwide.

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE55 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-1%7

3-month return+6%8

YTD return+87%10

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high80%5

1-year return+69%9

3-year return+26%4

5-year return-25%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It's up 69% over the past year, but 20% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (-1%), over three months (+6%) and so far this year (+87%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (+26% over three years and -25% over five), behind 70% of the market.

BOTTOM LINE

Early Turnaround

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community