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Vinhomes Joint Stock Company (VHM) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Vinhomes Joint Stock Company

VHMMarket cap $22BPrice $2.6

Country🇻🇳Vietnam

SectorReal Estate

IndustryReal Estate Dev

Builds massive residential megacities across Vietnam, from luxury condos to affordable housing, controlling the country's largest real estate portfolio. It's the developer behind entire new urban districts, reshaping how millions of Vietnamese city dwellers actually live.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-41%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+30%10

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+27%9

Rev CAGR (3y)+14%8

Rev CAGR (5y)+11%8

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1-26%2

EPS Growth Y+2+0%4

EPS Growth Y+3-3%3

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin41%9

Net Income Margin34%9

Free Cash Flow Margin28%9

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA1.65

Efficiency

ROE34%9

ROA10%8

Earnings Stability44

GEAR+VERY STRONG98

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)99

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)108

P/BV2.26

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd97

EV/EBIT Fwd99

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield11.9%10

Dividend Yield4.4%9

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-8%4

3 month return-9%3

YTD return+14%7

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh81%6

1 year return+31%8

Long term

3 year return+207%9

5 year return+82%7

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.58

Volatility55%3

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin28%9

Free Cash Flow Yield11.9%10

Quality

ROCE21%9

Earnings Stability44

Net Debt/EBITDA1.65

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

VHMVinhomes Joint Stock

Revenue FY25$5.9B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG75 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+30%10

Revenue, next 1Y+27%9

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+14%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+11%8

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-26%2

EPS growth, FY27E+0%4

EPS growth, FY28E-3%3

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 75% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 30%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

Revenue is set to grow 14%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.8/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 11%/yr over five years.8/10

WATCH

Revenue grew 30%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 14%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

Earnings are set to fall even as revenue grows (EPS about -3%/yr vs revenue 14%/yr).

BOTTOM LINE

Maturing Grower

A top-tier grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: earnings are forecast to fall.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

VHMVinhomes Joint Stock

Total return Current131%

Price return Current115%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE57 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-8%4

3-month return-9%3

YTD return+14%7

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high81%6

1-year return+31%8

3-year return+207%9

5-year return+82%7

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Magnificent long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +207% over three years and +82% over five, ahead of 70% of the market.

It's up 31% over the past year, but 19% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming so far this year (+14%).

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-8%).

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming over three months (-9%).

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Compounder

Dependable multi-year returns with a calmer near-term tape. A reliable long-term trend rather than a short-term breakout. The one thing to watch: the stock is underperforming over three months.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Vinhomes. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

VHMVinhomes Joint Stock

Revenue FY25$5.9B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG75 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+30%10

Revenue, next 1Y+27%9

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+14%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+11%8

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-26%2

EPS growth, FY27E+0%4

EPS growth, FY28E-3%3

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 75% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 30%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

Revenue is set to grow 14%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.8/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 11%/yr over five years.8/10

WATCH

Revenue grew 30%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 14%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

Earnings are set to fall even as revenue grows (EPS about -3%/yr vs revenue 14%/yr).

BOTTOM LINE

Maturing Grower

A top-tier grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: earnings are forecast to fall.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

VHMVinhomes Joint Stock

Total return Current131%

Price return Current115%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE57 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-8%4

3-month return-9%3

YTD return+14%7

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high81%6

1-year return+31%8

3-year return+207%9

5-year return+82%7

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Magnificent long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +207% over three years and +82% over five, ahead of 70% of the market.

It's up 31% over the past year, but 19% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming so far this year (+14%).

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-8%).

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming over three months (-9%).

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Compounder

Dependable multi-year returns with a calmer near-term tape. A reliable long-term trend rather than a short-term breakout. The one thing to watch: the stock is underperforming over three months.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Vinhomes. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community