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Villar Land Holdings Corp. (VLC) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Villar Land Holdings Corp.

VLCMarket cap $4.60BPrice $7.1

Country🇵🇭Philippines

SectorConsumer

IndustryConsumer Services

Develops and manages real estate across the Philippines, from residential communities to commercial hubs. Backed by the Villar family's property empire, it rides the country's fast-urbanizing middle class toward its next growth wave.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-82%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-15%1

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)-1%2

Rev CAGR (3y)na1

Rev CAGR (5y)na1

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1-1%3

EPS Growth Y+2-6%3

EPS Growth Y+30%4

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin29%9

Net Income Margin35%9

Free Cash Flow Margin34%9

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA4.42

Efficiency

ROE7%3

ROA3%4

Earnings Stability22

GEAR+VERY WEAK5

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)2021

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)2021

P/BV20.11

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd2291

EV/EBIT Fwd2401

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield0.3%3

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-0%8

3 month return-0%6

YTD return-55%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh19%1

1 year return-81%1

Long term

3 year return-45%1

5 year return-16%3

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.39

Volatility169%1

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin34%9

Free Cash Flow Yield0.3%3

Quality

ROCE4%3

Earnings Stability22

Net Debt/EBITDA4.42

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

VLCVillar Land Holdings

Revenue FY24$62M

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK2 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-15%1

Revenue, next 1Y-1%2

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGRna1

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGRna1

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY25E-1%3

EPS growth, FY26E-6%3

EPS growth, FY27E0%4

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to hold flat from here.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 98% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 15%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Revenue is set to hold flat over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.1/10

Over five years revenue is set to hold flat, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Earnings are set to fall even as revenue grows (EPS about -0.7%/yr vs revenue 0%/yr).

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

VLCVillar Land Holdings

Total return Current1981%

Price return Current1981%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK17 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-0%8

3-month return-0%6

YTD return-55%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high19%1

1-year return-81%1

3-year return-45%1

5-year return-16%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+0%).

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over three months (+0%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-45% over three years and -16% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 81% over the past year, now 81% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-55%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Villar Land Holdings Corp.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

VLCVillar Land Holdings

Revenue FY24$62M

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK2 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-15%1

Revenue, next 1Y-1%2

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGRna1

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGRna1

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY25E-1%3

EPS growth, FY26E-6%3

EPS growth, FY27E0%4

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to hold flat from here.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 98% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 15%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Revenue is set to hold flat over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.1/10

Over five years revenue is set to hold flat, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Earnings are set to fall even as revenue grows (EPS about -0.7%/yr vs revenue 0%/yr).

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

VLCVillar Land Holdings

Total return Current1981%

Price return Current1981%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK17 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-0%8

3-month return-0%6

YTD return-55%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high19%1

1-year return-81%1

3-year return-45%1

5-year return-16%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+0%).

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over three months (+0%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-45% over three years and -16% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 81% over the past year, now 81% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-55%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Villar Land Holdings Corp.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community