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Verra Mobility Corporation (VRRM) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

Verra Mobility Corporation

VRRMMarket cap $0.44BPrice $2.9

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorIndustrials

IndustryProfessional Services

Runs the tech behind toll roads and school bus cameras, catching millions of red-light runners and speeders every year. If you've ever gotten a mystery toll bill from a rental car, it's probably them.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-88%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+10%7

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)-2%2

Rev CAGR (3y)-0%1

Rev CAGR (5y)+0%1

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+33%9

EPS Growth Y+2-23%2

EPS Growth Y+3+32%9

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin24%8

Net Income Margin4%3

Free Cash Flow Margin10%6

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA2.83

Efficiency

ROE15%7

ROA3%4

Earnings Stability77

GEAR+AVERAGE36

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)310

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)310

P/BV2.07

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd410

EV/EBIT Fwd137

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield21.8%10

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-25%1

3 month return-31%1

YTD return-87%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh11%1

1 year return-88%1

Long term

3 year return-85%1

5 year return-81%1

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.29

Volatility132%1

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin10%6

Free Cash Flow Yield21.8%10

Quality

ROCE17%8

Earnings Stability77

Net Debt/EBITDA2.83

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

VRRMVerra Mobility

Revenue FY25$979M

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK10 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+10%7

Revenue, next 1Y-2%2

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR-0%1

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+0%1

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+33%9

EPS growth, FY27E-23%2

EPS growth, FY28E+32%9

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 10%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 60% of companies worldwide.7/10

WATCH

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 32%/yr vs revenue -0.2%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 23% in year 2.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 90% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to hold flat over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.1/10

Revenue grew 10%/yr over the last 3 years, but it is set to hold flat from here.

Over five years revenue is set to hold flat, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business heading into decline. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK1 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-25%1

3-month return-31%1

YTD return-87%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high11%1

1-year return-88%1

3-year return-85%1

5-year return-81%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-85% over three years and -81% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 88% over the past year, now 89% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-25%), over three months (-31%) and so far this year (-87%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Verra Mobility Corporation. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

VRRMVerra Mobility

Revenue FY25$979M

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK10 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+10%7

Revenue, next 1Y-2%2

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR-0%1

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+0%1

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+33%9

EPS growth, FY27E-23%2

EPS growth, FY28E+32%9

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 10%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 60% of companies worldwide.7/10

WATCH

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 32%/yr vs revenue -0.2%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 23% in year 2.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 90% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to hold flat over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.1/10

Revenue grew 10%/yr over the last 3 years, but it is set to hold flat from here.

Over five years revenue is set to hold flat, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business heading into decline. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK1 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-25%1

3-month return-31%1

YTD return-87%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high11%1

1-year return-88%1

3-year return-85%1

5-year return-81%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-85% over three years and -81% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 88% over the past year, now 89% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-25%), over three months (-31%) and so far this year (-87%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Verra Mobility Corporation. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community