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Wingstop Inc. (WING) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Wingstop Inc.

WINGMarket cap $3.18BPrice $116.7

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorConsumer

IndustryHotels & Leisure

Sells bone-in and boneless chicken wings through a virtually franchised model, with over 2,500 locations worldwide. Nearly all restaurants are franchisee-owned, letting Wingstop rake in high-margin royalty fees while growing sales double digits nearly every year since going public.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-54%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+25%9

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+10%6

Rev CAGR (3y)+13%8

Rev CAGR (5y)+12%8

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+19%8

EPS Growth Y+2+17%8

EPS Growth Y+3+18%8

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin29%9

Net Income Margin16%7

Free Cash Flow Margin18%8

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA4.72

Efficiency

ROEna–

ROA17%10

Earnings Stability1010

GEAR+AVERAGE59

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)243

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)193

P/BVna–

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd153

EV/EBIT Fwd204

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield4.0%6

Dividend Yield1.1%3

Momentum

Short term

1 month return+7%10

3 month return-26%1

YTD return-51%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh39%1

1 year return-53%1

Long term

3 year return-32%1

5 year return-21%2

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.23

Volatility63%2

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin18%8

Free Cash Flow Yield4.0%6

Quality

ROCE34%10

Earnings Stability1010

Net Debt/EBITDA4.72

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

WINGWingstop

Revenue FY25$626M

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG78 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+25%9

Revenue, next 1Y+10%6

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+13%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+12%8

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+19%8

EPS growth, FY27E+17%8

EPS growth, FY28E+18%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 78% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 25%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 80% of companies worldwide.9/10

Revenue is set to grow 13%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 12%/yr over five years.8/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 18%/yr vs revenue 13%/yr).

WATCH

Revenue grew 25%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 13%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Elite Compounder

A top-tier grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the pace is cooling.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK8 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+7%10

3-month return-26%1

YTD return-51%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high39%1

1-year return-53%1

3-year return-32%1

5-year return-21%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+7%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-32% over three years and -21% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 53% over the past year, now 61% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over three months (-26%) and so far this year (-51%).

BOTTOM LINE

Weak Tape

Returns across short and long horizons rank poorly versus the market. Momentum offers no support here; the case has to come from other factors. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Wingstop Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

WINGWingstop

Revenue FY25$626M

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG78 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+25%9

Revenue, next 1Y+10%6

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+13%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+12%8

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+19%8

EPS growth, FY27E+17%8

EPS growth, FY28E+18%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 78% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 25%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 80% of companies worldwide.9/10

Revenue is set to grow 13%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 12%/yr over five years.8/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 18%/yr vs revenue 13%/yr).

WATCH

Revenue grew 25%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 13%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Elite Compounder

A top-tier grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the pace is cooling.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK8 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+7%10

3-month return-26%1

YTD return-51%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high39%1

1-year return-53%1

3-year return-32%1

5-year return-21%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+7%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-32% over three years and -21% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 53% over the past year, now 61% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over three months (-26%) and so far this year (-51%).

BOTTOM LINE

Weak Tape

Returns across short and long horizons rank poorly versus the market. Momentum offers no support here; the case has to come from other factors. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Wingstop Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community