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Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Wynn Resorts, Limited

WYNNMarket cap $7.61BPrice $75.0

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorConsumer

IndustryHotels & Leisure

Builds and operates luxury casino resorts in Las Vegas, Macau, and soon the UAE. Macau alone generates more gambling revenue than the entire Las Vegas Strip, and Wynn's properties sit right in the middle of it.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-36%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+24%9

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+5%4

Rev CAGR (3y)+4%3

Rev CAGR (5y)+9%7

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+10%7

EPS Growth Y+2+5%5

EPS Growth Y+3+25%8

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin16%6

Net Income Margin6%4

Free Cash Flow Margin11%6

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA5.51

Efficiency

ROEna–

ROA5%6

Earnings Stability33

GEAR+WEAK28

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)166

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)126

P/BVna–

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd78

EV/EBIT Fwd146

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield10.4%9

Dividend Yield1.3%4

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-19%1

3 month return-23%1

YTD return-37%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh56%2

1 year return-38%1

Long term

3 year return-16%2

5 year return-10%3

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.04

Volatility33%6

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin11%6

Free Cash Flow Yield10.4%9

Quality

ROCE12%6

Earnings Stability33

Net Debt/EBITDA5.51

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

WYNNWynn Resorts

Revenue FY25$7.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE47 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+24%9

Revenue, next 1Y+5%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+9%7

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+10%7

EPS growth, FY27E+5%5

EPS growth, FY28E+25%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 24%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 80% of companies worldwide.9/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 9%/yr over five years.7/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 10%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 47% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

Revenue grew 24%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 4%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Maturing Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth is only about average.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK3 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-19%1

3-month return-23%1

YTD return-37%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high56%2

1-year return-38%1

3-year return-16%2

5-year return-10%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-16% over three years and -9.7% over five), behind 70% of the market.

It's down 38% over the past year, now 44% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-19%), over three months (-23%) and so far this year (-37%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Wynn. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

WYNNWynn Resorts

Revenue FY25$7.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE47 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+24%9

Revenue, next 1Y+5%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+9%7

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+10%7

EPS growth, FY27E+5%5

EPS growth, FY28E+25%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 24%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 80% of companies worldwide.9/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 9%/yr over five years.7/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 10%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 47% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

Revenue grew 24%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 4%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Maturing Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth is only about average.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK3 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-19%1

3-month return-23%1

YTD return-37%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high56%2

1-year return-38%1

3-year return-16%2

5-year return-10%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-16% over three years and -9.7% over five), behind 70% of the market.

It's down 38% over the past year, now 44% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-19%), over three months (-23%) and so far this year (-37%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Wynn. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community