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TMX Group Limited (X) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

TMX Group Limited

XMarket cap $10BPrice $36.9

Country🇨🇦Canada

SectorFinancials

IndustryCapital Markets

Operates Canada's main stock exchanges, including the Toronto Stock Exchange, plus clearinghouses and market data services. It's the backbone of Canadian capital markets, listing everything from mining juniors to Shopify, and profits whether stocks rise or fall.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+5%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+15%8

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+10%6

Rev CAGR (3y)+15%8

Rev CAGR (5y)+4%4

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+58%9

EPS Growth Y+2+10%6

EPS Growth Y+3-8%3

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin48%10

Net Income Margin33%9

Free Cash Flow Margin36%10

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA1.45

Efficiency

ROE13%6

ROA1%3

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+STRONG84

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)233

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)213

P/BV3.05

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd153

EV/EBIT Fwd183

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield0.0%4

Dividend Yield2.0%5

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-4%6

3 month return+11%9

YTD return+2%5

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh92%9

1 year return+3%5

Long term

3 year return+86%7

5 year return+118%8

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.48

Volatility24%8

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin36%10

Free Cash Flow Yield0.0%4

Quality

ROCE12%3

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA1.45

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

XTMX Group

Revenue FY25$1.3B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE61 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+15%8

Revenue, next 1Y+10%6

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+15%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%4

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+58%9

EPS growth, FY27E+10%6

EPS growth, FY28E-8%3

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 15%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 70% of companies worldwide.8/10

Revenue grew 15%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 15%/yr.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 61% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 15%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 60% of companies worldwide.4/10

Earnings are set to grow slower than sales (EPS about 10%/yr vs revenue 15%/yr), so margins are under pressure. One year dips: EPS falls 8% in year 3.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower. The one thing to watch: the long-term outlook is only average.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

XTMX Group

Total return Current327%

Price return Current246%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

STRONG80 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-4%6

3-month return+11%9

YTD return+2%5

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high92%9

1-year return+3%5

3-year return+86%7

5-year return+118%8

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +86% over three years and +118% over five, ahead of 70% of the market.

It's up 3% over the past year, now 8% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over three months (+11%).

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-4%) and so far this year (+2%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Compounder

Dependable multi-year returns and the stock sits near its highs. A reliable trend, if not the single hottest name in the market.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on TMX Group Limited. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

XTMX Group

Revenue FY25$1.3B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE61 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+15%8

Revenue, next 1Y+10%6

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+15%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%4

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+58%9

EPS growth, FY27E+10%6

EPS growth, FY28E-8%3

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 15%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 70% of companies worldwide.8/10

Revenue grew 15%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 15%/yr.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 61% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 15%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 60% of companies worldwide.4/10

Earnings are set to grow slower than sales (EPS about 10%/yr vs revenue 15%/yr), so margins are under pressure. One year dips: EPS falls 8% in year 3.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower. The one thing to watch: the long-term outlook is only average.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

XTMX Group

Total return Current327%

Price return Current246%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

STRONG80 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-4%6

3-month return+11%9

YTD return+2%5

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high92%9

1-year return+3%5

3-year return+86%7

5-year return+118%8

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +86% over three years and +118% over five, ahead of 70% of the market.

It's up 3% over the past year, now 8% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over three months (+11%).

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-4%) and so far this year (+2%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Compounder

Dependable multi-year returns and the stock sits near its highs. A reliable trend, if not the single hottest name in the market.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on TMX Group Limited. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community