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York Space Systems, Inc. (YSS) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

York Space Systems, Inc.

YSSMarket cap $1.10BPrice $8.0

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorIndustrials

IndustryAerospace & Defense

Builds standardized small satellites for defense and commercial customers, manufacturing spacecraft in weeks instead of years. Its assembly-line approach to space hardware helped it land a spot on the Pentagon's Space Development Agency megaconstellation contracts.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-62%

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)na–

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+1%3

Rev CAGR (3y)+21%9

Rev CAGR (5y)+18%9

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1Loss1

EPS Growth Y+2Loss1

EPS Growth Y+30%5

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin-42%1

Net Income Margin-50%1

Free Cash Flow Margin-54%1

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

Efficiency

ROE-15%1

ROAna–

Earnings Stability22

GEAR+VERY WEAK4

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)na–

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)381

P/BV0.610

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwdna–

EV/EBIT Fwdna–

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-19.9%1

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-10%2

3 month return-65%1

YTD return-76%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh18%1

1 year return-76%1

Long term

3 year return-76%1

5 year return-76%1

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Betana–

Volatility117%1

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-54%1

Free Cash Flow Yield-19.9%1

Quality

ROCE-18%1

Earnings Stability22

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

YSSYork Space Systems

Revenue FY25$386M

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE59 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGRna–

Revenue, next 1Y+1%3

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+21%9

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+18%9

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26ELoss1

EPS growth, FY27ELoss1

EPS growth, FY28E0%5

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue is set to grow 21%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years and is set to grow 21%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 18%/yr over five years.9/10

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 59% of companies worldwide.

WEAKNESSES

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Top-Line Rocket

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK1 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-10%2

3-month return-65%1

YTD return-76%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high18%1

1-year return-76%1

3-year return-76%1

5-year return-76%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-76% over three years and -76% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 76% over the past year, now 82% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-10%), over three months (-65%) and so far this year (-76%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on York Space Systems, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

YSSYork Space Systems

Revenue FY25$386M

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE59 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGRna–

Revenue, next 1Y+1%3

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+21%9

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+18%9

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26ELoss1

EPS growth, FY27ELoss1

EPS growth, FY28E0%5

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue is set to grow 21%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years and is set to grow 21%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 18%/yr over five years.9/10

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 59% of companies worldwide.

WEAKNESSES

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Top-Line Rocket

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK1 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-10%2

3-month return-65%1

YTD return-76%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high18%1

1-year return-76%1

3-year return-76%1

5-year return-76%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-76% over three years and -76% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 76% over the past year, now 82% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-10%), over three months (-65%) and so far this year (-76%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on York Space Systems, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community