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China Vanke Co., Ltd. (000002) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

China Vanke Co., Ltd.

000002Market cap $6.96BPrice $0.6

Country🇨🇳China

SectorReal Estate

IndustryReal Estate Dev

Builds and sells residential housing across China, once the country's largest developer by sales. Now fighting for survival amid the property crisis, backed by state-owned shareholders as Beijing tries to prevent a collapse of systemic proportions.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-28%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-23%1

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)-23%1

Rev CAGR (3y)-18%1

Rev CAGR (5y)+1%2

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1Loss1

EPS Growth Y+2Loss1

EPS Growth Y+3Loss1

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin-11%1

Net Income Margin-46%1

Free Cash Flow Margin0%3

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

Efficiency

ROE-62%1

ROA-9%1

Earnings Stability11

GEAR+VERY WEAK2

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)na–

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)na–

P/BV0.510

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwdna–

EV/EBIT Fwdna–

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield0.1%3

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return+34%10

3 month return+42%10

YTD return-8%3

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh61%2

1 year return-38%1

Long term

3 year return-67%1

5 year return-78%1

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.48

Volatility39%5

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin0%3

Free Cash Flow Yield0.1%3

Quality

ROCE-5%1

Earnings Stability11

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

000002China Vanke Co.

Revenue FY25$33.4B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK2 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-23%1

Revenue, next 1Y-23%1

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR-18%1

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+1%2

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26ELoss1

EPS growth, FY27ELoss1

EPS growth, FY28ELoss1

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Revenue fell 23%/yr over the last 3 years, and it is still set to shrink 18%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 98% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 23%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Revenue is set to shrink 18%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.1/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 1%/yr, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business whose decline is easing. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

000002China Vanke Co.

Total return Current−70.9%

Price return Current−78.5%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK30 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+34%10

3-month return+42%10

YTD return-8%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high61%2

1-year return-38%1

3-year return-67%1

5-year return-78%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+34%) and over three months (+42%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-67% over three years and -78% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 38% over the past year, now 39% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-8%).

BOTTOM LINE

Early Turnaround

A poor multi-year track record but a sharp recent rally. Momentum is turning up, yet the trend is young and unproven — it needs follow-through to confirm rather than fade. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on China Vanke Co., Ltd.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

000002China Vanke Co.

Revenue FY25$33.4B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK2 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-23%1

Revenue, next 1Y-23%1

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR-18%1

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+1%2

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26ELoss1

EPS growth, FY27ELoss1

EPS growth, FY28ELoss1

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Revenue fell 23%/yr over the last 3 years, and it is still set to shrink 18%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 98% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 23%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Revenue is set to shrink 18%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.1/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 1%/yr, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business whose decline is easing. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

000002China Vanke Co.

Total return Current−70.9%

Price return Current−78.5%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK30 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+34%10

3-month return+42%10

YTD return-8%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high61%2

1-year return-38%1

3-year return-67%1

5-year return-78%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+34%) and over three months (+42%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-67% over three years and -78% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 38% over the past year, now 39% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-8%).

BOTTOM LINE

Early Turnaround

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on China Vanke Co., Ltd.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community