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Luzhou Laojiao Co.,Ltd (000568) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

Luzhou Laojiao Co.,Ltd

000568Market cap $16BPrice $10.7

Country🇨🇳China

SectorConsumer

IndustryBeverages

Distills and sells Chinese baijiu, the fiery sorghum liquor that fuels business banquets and holiday toasts across China. One of the "Four Great Classic" baijiu brands, its Guojiao 1573 lineage traces back to Ming Dynasty fermentation pits still in use today.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-43%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+0%3

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)-21%1

Rev CAGR (3y)-3%1

Rev CAGR (5y)+0%1

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1-31%2

EPS Growth Y+2+8%6

EPS Growth Y+3+20%8

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin46%10

Net Income Margin38%10

Free Cash Flow Margin6%5

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA-2.210

Efficiency

ROE16%7

ROA11%9

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+AVERAGE59

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)146

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)117

P/BV2.36

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd88

EV/EBIT Fwd99

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield1.2%3

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-6%4

3 month return+3%7

YTD return-33%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh52%2

1 year return-40%1

Long term

3 year return-60%1

5 year return-61%1

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.210

Volatility30%7

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin6%5

Free Cash Flow Yield1.2%3

Quality

ROCE19%8

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA-2.210

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

000568Luzhou Laojiao Co.,Ltd

Revenue FY25$3.7B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK4 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+0%3

Revenue, next 1Y-21%1

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR-3%1

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+0%1

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-31%2

EPS growth, FY27E+8%6

EPS growth, FY28E+20%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 8%/yr vs revenue -3%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 31% next year.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 96% of companies worldwide.

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

Revenue is set to shrink 3%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.1/10

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years, but it is set to shrink 3%/yr from here.

Over five years revenue is set to hold flat, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business heading into decline. The one thing to watch: the 3-year revenue record is weak.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

000568Luzhou Laojiao Co.,Ltd

Total return Current191%

Price return Current125%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK11 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-6%4

3-month return+3%7

YTD return-33%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high52%2

1-year return-40%1

3-year return-60%1

5-year return-61%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over three months (+3%).

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-6%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-60% over three years and -61% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 40% over the past year, now 48% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-33%).

BOTTOM LINE

Weak Tape

Returns across short and long horizons rank poorly versus the market. Momentum offers no support here; the case has to come from other factors. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Luzhou Laojiao. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

000568Luzhou Laojiao Co.,Ltd

Revenue FY25$3.7B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK4 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+0%3

Revenue, next 1Y-21%1

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR-3%1

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+0%1

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-31%2

EPS growth, FY27E+8%6

EPS growth, FY28E+20%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 8%/yr vs revenue -3%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 31% next year.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 96% of companies worldwide.

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

Revenue is set to shrink 3%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.1/10

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years, but it is set to shrink 3%/yr from here.

Over five years revenue is set to hold flat, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business heading into decline. The one thing to watch: the 3-year revenue record is weak.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

000568Luzhou Laojiao Co.,Ltd

Total return Current191%

Price return Current125%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK11 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-6%4

3-month return+3%7

YTD return-33%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high52%2

1-year return-40%1

3-year return-60%1

5-year return-61%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over three months (+3%).

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-6%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-60% over three years and -61% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 40% over the past year, now 48% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-33%).

BOTTOM LINE

Weak Tape

Returns across short and long horizons rank poorly versus the market. Momentum offers no support here; the case has to come from other factors. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Luzhou Laojiao. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community