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Anhui Gujing Distillery Co., Ltd. (000596) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Anhui Gujing Distillery Co., Ltd.

000596Market cap $6.55BPrice $14.0

Country🇨🇳China

SectorConsumer

IndustryBeverages

Produces and sells Baijiu, China's fiery national spirit, under the century-old Gujing Gong brand. Its "Nian Fen Yuan Jiang" aged liquors have poured through imperial dynasties and communist banquets alike, making it one of China's oldest continuously operating distilleries.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-36%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+4%4

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)-13%1

Rev CAGR (3y)-1%1

Rev CAGR (5y)+4%3

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1-6%3

EPS Growth Y+2+10%6

EPS Growth Y+3+23%8

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin19%7

Net Income Margin14%7

Free Cash Flow Margin-12%2

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA-3.410

Efficiency

ROE8%4

ROA5%6

Earnings Stability77

GEAR+AVERAGE37

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)156

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)117

P/BV1.87

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd88

EV/EBIT Fwd89

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-4.1%2

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-7%3

3 month return+26%10

YTD return-26%2

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh57%2

1 year return-39%1

Long term

3 year return-62%1

5 year return-55%1

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.110

Volatility39%5

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-12%2

Free Cash Flow Yield-4.1%2

Quality

ROCE10%6

Earnings Stability77

Net Debt/EBITDA-3.410

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

000596Anhui Gujing Distillery Co.

Revenue FY25$2.7B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK9 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+4%4

Revenue, next 1Y-13%1

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR-1%1

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-6%3

EPS growth, FY27E+10%6

EPS growth, FY28E+23%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 10%/yr vs revenue -0.8%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 6% next year.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 91% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to shrink 0.8%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.2/10

Revenue grew 4%/yr over the last 3 years, but it is set to shrink 0.8%/yr from here.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business heading into decline. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

000596Anhui Gujing Distillery Co.

Total return Current155%

Price return Current113%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK15 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-7%3

3-month return+26%10

YTD return-26%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high57%2

1-year return-39%1

3-year return-62%1

5-year return-55%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over three months (+26%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-62% over three years and -55% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 39% over the past year, now 43% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-7%) and so far this year (-26%).

BOTTOM LINE

Weak Tape

Returns across short and long horizons rank poorly versus the market. Momentum offers no support here; the case has to come from other factors. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Anhui Gujing Distillery Co., Ltd.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

000596Anhui Gujing Distillery Co.

Revenue FY25$2.7B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK9 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+4%4

Revenue, next 1Y-13%1

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR-1%1

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-6%3

EPS growth, FY27E+10%6

EPS growth, FY28E+23%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 10%/yr vs revenue -0.8%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 6% next year.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 91% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to shrink 0.8%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.2/10

Revenue grew 4%/yr over the last 3 years, but it is set to shrink 0.8%/yr from here.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business heading into decline. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

000596Anhui Gujing Distillery Co.

Total return Current155%

Price return Current113%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK15 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-7%3

3-month return+26%10

YTD return-26%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high57%2

1-year return-39%1

3-year return-62%1

5-year return-55%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over three months (+26%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-62% over three years and -55% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 39% over the past year, now 43% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-7%) and so far this year (-26%).

BOTTOM LINE

Weak Tape

Returns across short and long horizons rank poorly versus the market. Momentum offers no support here; the case has to come from other factors. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Anhui Gujing Distillery Co., Ltd.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community