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Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited (000625) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited

000625Market cap $9.46BPrice $1.1

Country🇨🇳China

SectorConsumer

IndustryAutos

Manufactures and sells passenger vehicles across gas, electric, and hybrid lineups, ranking among China's top automakers. Its Deepal and Avatr brands are pushing hard into EVs, betting big on tech-savvy buyers in the world's largest car market.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-40%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+10%7

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+4%4

Rev CAGR (3y)+3%3

Rev CAGR (5y)+2%2

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1-79%1

EPS Growth Y+2+165%10

EPS Growth Y+3+63%10

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin0%2

Net Income Margin2%2

Free Cash Flow Margin-4%2

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA-6.810

Efficiency

ROE3%2

ROA1%3

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+WEAK16

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)591

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)193

P/BV0.810

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwdna–

EV/EBIT Fwdna–

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-8.9%1

Dividend Yield4.1%9

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-2%7

3 month return+3%7

YTD return-39%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh52%2

1 year return-41%1

Long term

3 year return-43%1

5 year return-43%2

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.39

Volatility22%9

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-4%2

Free Cash Flow Yield-8.9%1

Quality

ROCE1%2

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA-6.810

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

000625Chongqing Changan Automobile Company

Revenue FY25$23.5B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK28 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+10%7

Revenue, next 1Y+4%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+3%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+2%2

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-79%1

EPS growth, FY27E+165%10

EPS growth, FY28E+63%10

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 10%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 60% of companies worldwide.7/10

WATCH

Revenue grew 10%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 3%/yr.

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 63%/yr vs revenue 3%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 79% next year.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 72% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 3%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 2%/yr, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

Growth is a weak point here: a business that is slowing. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

000625Chongqing Changan Automobile Company

Total return Current11.1%

Price return Current−11.2%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK17 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-2%7

3-month return+3%7

YTD return-39%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high52%2

1-year return-41%1

3-year return-43%1

5-year return-43%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (-2%) and over three months (+3%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-43% over three years and -43% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 41% over the past year, now 48% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-39%).

BOTTOM LINE

Early Turnaround

A poor multi-year track record but a sharp recent rally. Momentum is turning up, yet the trend is young and unproven — it needs follow-through to confirm rather than fade. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Changan. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

000625Chongqing Changan Automobile Company

Revenue FY25$23.5B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK28 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+10%7

Revenue, next 1Y+4%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+3%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+2%2

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-79%1

EPS growth, FY27E+165%10

EPS growth, FY28E+63%10

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 10%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 60% of companies worldwide.7/10

WATCH

Revenue grew 10%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 3%/yr.

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 63%/yr vs revenue 3%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 79% next year.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 72% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 3%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 2%/yr, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

Growth is a weak point here: a business that is slowing. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

000625Chongqing Changan Automobile Company

Total return Current11.1%

Price return Current−11.2%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK17 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-2%7

3-month return+3%7

YTD return-39%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high52%2

1-year return-41%1

3-year return-43%1

5-year return-43%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (-2%) and over three months (+3%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-43% over three years and -43% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 41% over the past year, now 48% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-39%).

BOTTOM LINE

Early Turnaround

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Changan. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community