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SAIC Motor Corporation Limited (600104) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

SAIC Motor Corporation Limited

600104Market cap $19BPrice $1.6

Country🇨🇳China

SectorConsumer

IndustryAutos

Manufactures and sells passenger cars, commercial vehicles, and EVs through joint ventures with Volkswagen and General Motors. China's largest automaker by sales volume, it builds more cars annually than most countries produce combined.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-29%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-5%2

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+6%4

Rev CAGR (3y)+4%3

Rev CAGR (5y)+5%5

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+0%4

EPS Growth Y+2+12%7

EPS Growth Y+3+21%8

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin2%2

Net Income Margin1%2

Free Cash Flow Margin7%5

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA-6.410

Efficiency

ROE3%2

ROA2%4

Earnings Stability22

GEAR+AVERAGE39

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)127

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)98

P/BV0.410

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwdna–

EV/EBIT Fwdna–

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield37.2%10

Dividend Yield2.4%6

Momentum

Short term

1 month return+3%9

3 month return+10%8

YTD return-27%2

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh63%2

1 year return-35%1

Long term

3 year return-22%2

5 year return-36%2

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.110

Volatility21%9

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin7%5

Free Cash Flow Yield37.2%10

Quality

ROCE3%3

Earnings Stability22

Net Debt/EBITDA-6.410

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

600104SAIC Motor Corporation

Revenue FY25$93.8B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK31 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-5%2

Revenue, next 1Y+6%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%5

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+0%4

EPS growth, FY27E+12%7

EPS growth, FY28E+21%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 12%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 4%/yr from here.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, about average versus companies worldwide.5/10

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 69% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 5%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

600104SAIC Motor Corporation

Total return Current−33.4%

Price return Current−52.0%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK26 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+3%9

3-month return+10%8

YTD return-27%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high63%2

1-year return-35%1

3-year return-22%2

5-year return-36%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+3%) and over three months (+10%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-22% over three years and -36% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 35% over the past year, now 37% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-27%).

BOTTOM LINE

Early Turnaround

A poor multi-year track record but a sharp recent rally. Momentum is turning up, yet the trend is young and unproven — it needs follow-through to confirm rather than fade. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on SAIC. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

600104SAIC Motor Corporation

Revenue FY25$93.8B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK31 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-5%2

Revenue, next 1Y+6%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%5

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+0%4

EPS growth, FY27E+12%7

EPS growth, FY28E+21%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 12%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 4%/yr from here.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, about average versus companies worldwide.5/10

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 69% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 5%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

600104SAIC Motor Corporation

Total return Current−33.4%

Price return Current−52.0%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK26 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+3%9

3-month return+10%8

YTD return-27%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high63%2

1-year return-35%1

3-year return-22%2

5-year return-36%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+3%) and over three months (+10%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-22% over three years and -36% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 35% over the past year, now 37% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-27%).

BOTTOM LINE

Early Turnaround

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on SAIC. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community