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AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group Company Ltd. (000768) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group Company Ltd.

000768Market cap $9.59BPrice $3.4

Country🇨🇳China

SectorIndustrials

IndustryAerospace & Defense

Manufactures large military aircraft, including China's H-6 bomber and Y-20 transport plane, giving it a near-monopoly on the country's heavy airframe production. Its factories are central to China's push for aerial military self-sufficiency, far from Western supply chains.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-6%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+2%4

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+41%10

Rev CAGR (3y)+21%9

Rev CAGR (5y)+14%9

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+51%9

EPS Growth Y+2+21%8

EPS Growth Y+3+104%10

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin3%2

Net Income Margin3%3

Free Cash Flow Margin6%4

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA-2.910

Efficiency

ROE4%3

ROA1%3

Earnings Stability88

GEAR+AVERAGE63

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)352

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)155

P/BV2.95

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd222

EV/EBIT Fwd342

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield3.1%5

Dividend Yield0.6%2

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-2%7

3 month return+16%9

YTD return-8%4

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh71%4

1 year return-13%3

Long term

3 year return+3%3

5 year return-21%3

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.57

Volatility35%5

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin6%4

Free Cash Flow Yield3.1%5

Quality

ROCE5%3

Earnings Stability88

Net Debt/EBITDA-2.910

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

000768AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group Company

Revenue FY25$5.9B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY STRONG89 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+2%4

Revenue, next 1Y+41%10

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+21%9

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+14%9

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+51%9

EPS growth, FY27E+21%8

EPS growth, FY28E+104%10

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 89% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 21%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.9/10

Revenue grew 2%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 21%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 14%/yr over five years.9/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 51%/yr vs revenue 21%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Hyper Compounder

A top-tier grower that's speeding up.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

000768AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group Company

Total return Current14.3%

Price return Current10.1%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE39 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-2%7

3-month return+16%9

YTD return-8%4

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high71%4

1-year return-13%3

3-year return+3%3

5-year return-21%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (-2%) and over three months (+16%).

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level so far this year (-8%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (+3.5% over three years and -21% over five), behind 70% of the market.

It's down 13% over the past year, now 29% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

BOTTOM LINE

Early Turnaround

A poor multi-year track record but a sharp recent rally. Momentum is turning up, yet the trend is young and unproven — it needs follow-through to confirm rather than fade. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group Company Ltd.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

000768AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group Company

Revenue FY25$5.9B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY STRONG89 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+2%4

Revenue, next 1Y+41%10

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+21%9

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+14%9

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+51%9

EPS growth, FY27E+21%8

EPS growth, FY28E+104%10

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 89% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 21%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.9/10

Revenue grew 2%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 21%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 14%/yr over five years.9/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 51%/yr vs revenue 21%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Hyper Compounder

A top-tier grower that's speeding up.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

000768AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group Company

Total return Current14.3%

Price return Current10.1%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE39 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-2%7

3-month return+16%9

YTD return-8%4

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high71%4

1-year return-13%3

3-year return+3%3

5-year return-21%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (-2%) and over three months (+16%).

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level so far this year (-8%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (+3.5% over three years and -21% over five), behind 70% of the market.

It's down 13% over the past year, now 29% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

BOTTOM LINE

Early Turnaround

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group Company Ltd.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community