Loading stock…

AVIC Airborne Systems Co., Ltd. (600372) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

AVIC Airborne Systems Co., Ltd.

600372Market cap $8.02BPrice $1.7

Country🇨🇳China

SectorIndustrials

IndustryAerospace & Defense

Manufactures avionics, flight control systems, and onboard equipment for Chinese military and commercial aircraft. As a core AVIC subsidiary, it supplies critical systems for China's fighter jets and airliners, making it nearly impossible to build a Chinese aircraft without its parts.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-3%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-5%2

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+6%5

Rev CAGR (3y)+6%5

Rev CAGR (5y)+5%4

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+143%10

EPS Growth Y+2+7%6

EPS Growth Y+3+14%7

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin6%3

Net Income Margin4%3

Free Cash Flow Margin-13%2

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA1.94

Efficiency

ROE3%2

ROA2%4

Earnings Stability44

GEAR+VERY WEAK13

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)214

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)183

P/BV1.48

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd144

EV/EBIT Fwd382

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-5.8%1

Dividend Yield0.6%2

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-6%4

3 month return-1%6

YTD return-16%3

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh66%3

1 year return-11%3

Long term

3 year return-20%2

5 year return-30%2

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.57

Volatility34%6

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-13%2

Free Cash Flow Yield-5.8%1

Quality

ROCE3%2

Earnings Stability44

Net Debt/EBITDA1.94

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

600372AVIC Airborne Systems Co.

Revenue FY25$3.5B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE42 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-5%2

Revenue, next 1Y+6%5

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+6%5

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%4

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+143%10

EPS growth, FY27E+7%6

EPS growth, FY28E+14%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 6%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 14%/yr vs revenue 6%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 42% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 6%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, behind 60% of companies worldwide.4/10

WEAKNESSES

Revenue fell 5%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

600372AVIC Airborne Systems Co.

Total return Current−35.1%

Price return Current−37.8%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK17 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-6%4

3-month return-1%6

YTD return-16%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high66%3

1-year return-11%3

3-year return-20%2

5-year return-30%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-6%) and over three months (-1%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-20% over three years and -30% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 11% over the past year, now 34% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-16%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on AVIC Airborne Systems Co., Ltd.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community

Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

600372AVIC Airborne Systems Co.

Revenue FY25$3.5B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE42 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-5%2

Revenue, next 1Y+6%5

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+6%5

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%4

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+143%10

EPS growth, FY27E+7%6

EPS growth, FY28E+14%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 6%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 14%/yr vs revenue 6%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 42% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 6%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, behind 60% of companies worldwide.4/10

WEAKNESSES

Revenue fell 5%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

600372AVIC Airborne Systems Co.

Total return Current−35.1%

Price return Current−37.8%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK17 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-6%4

3-month return-1%6

YTD return-16%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high66%3

1-year return-11%3

3-year return-20%2

5-year return-30%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-6%) and over three months (-1%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-20% over three years and -30% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 11% over the past year, now 34% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-16%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on AVIC Airborne Systems Co., Ltd.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community