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China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings Co.,Ltd. (001965) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings Co.,Ltd.

001965Market cap $10BPrice $1.5

Country🇨🇳China

SectorIndustrials

IndustryTransport Infrastructure

Operates toll expressways across China, collecting fees from millions of daily drivers while managing traffic tech and road services. It's a rare bet on physical infrastructure that generates cash flow like clockwork, rain or shine.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+3%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+17%8

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+17%8

Rev CAGR (3y)+3%2

Rev CAGR (5y)+2%2

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+12%7

EPS Growth Y+2+1%4

EPS Growth Y+3+5%5

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin17%7

Net Income Margin32%9

Free Cash Flow Margin29%9

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA6.51

Efficiency

ROE6%3

ROA3%5

Earnings Stability44

GEAR+STRONG70

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)146

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)135

P/BV0.910

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd69

EV/EBIT Fwd127

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield6.3%7

Dividend Yield3.7%8

Momentum

Short term

1 month return+3%9

3 month return+12%9

YTD return+3%5

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh97%10

1 year return+7%6

Long term

3 year return+17%4

5 year return+64%6

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta-0.210

Volatility22%9

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin29%9

Free Cash Flow Yield6.3%7

Quality

ROCE2%2

Earnings Stability44

Net Debt/EBITDA6.51

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

001965China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings Co.,Ltd.

Revenue FY25$1.9B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK29 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+17%8

Revenue, next 1Y+17%8

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+3%2

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+2%2

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+12%7

EPS growth, FY27E+1%4

EPS growth, FY28E+5%5

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 17%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 70% of companies worldwide.8/10

WATCH

Revenue is set to grow 3%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

Revenue grew 17%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 3%/yr.

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 5%/yr vs revenue 3%/yr).

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 71% of companies worldwide.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 2%/yr, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Maturing Grower

Growth is a weak point here: a business that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the five-year outlook is thin.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

001965China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings Co.,Ltd.

Total return Current−6.7%

Price return Current−29.6%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

STRONG82 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+3%9

3-month return+12%9

YTD return+3%5

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high97%10

1-year return+7%6

3-year return+17%4

5-year return+64%6

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It's up 7% over the past year, now sitting right at its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+3%) and over three months (+12%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+17% over three years and +64% over five), roughly average for the market.

Returns sit at the market level so far this year (+3%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Fresh Momentum

Short-term returns are strong but the long track record is thin. Momentum is building — confirmation from longer horizons would strengthen the case.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings Co.,Ltd.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

001965China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings Co.,Ltd.

Revenue FY25$1.9B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK29 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+17%8

Revenue, next 1Y+17%8

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+3%2

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+2%2

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+12%7

EPS growth, FY27E+1%4

EPS growth, FY28E+5%5

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 17%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 70% of companies worldwide.8/10

WATCH

Revenue is set to grow 3%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

Revenue grew 17%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 3%/yr.

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 5%/yr vs revenue 3%/yr).

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 71% of companies worldwide.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 2%/yr, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Maturing Grower

Growth is a weak point here: a business that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the five-year outlook is thin.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

001965China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings Co.,Ltd.

Total return Current−6.7%

Price return Current−29.6%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

STRONG82 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+3%9

3-month return+12%9

YTD return+3%5

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high97%10

1-year return+7%6

3-year return+17%4

5-year return+64%6

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It's up 7% over the past year, now sitting right at its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+3%) and over three months (+12%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+17% over three years and +64% over five), roughly average for the market.

Returns sit at the market level so far this year (+3%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Fresh Momentum

Short-term returns are strong but the long track record is thin. Momentum is building — confirmation from longer horizons would strengthen the case.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings Co.,Ltd.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community