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Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co., Ltd. (601816) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co., Ltd.

601816Market cap $35BPrice $0.7

Country🇨🇳China

SectorIndustrials

IndustryTransport Infrastructure

Operates China's busiest high-speed rail line connecting Beijing and Shanghai in under five hours. Carries over 200 million passengers annually on what's essentially a 1,300-kilometer money-printing machine.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-1%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+30%10

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+9%6

Rev CAGR (3y)+5%4

Rev CAGR (5y)+4%3

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+11%7

EPS Growth Y+2+8%6

EPS Growth Y+3+8%6

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin45%10

Net Income Margin31%9

Free Cash Flow Margin48%10

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA1.35

Efficiency

ROE7%3

ROA5%6

Earnings Stability88

GEAR+VERY STRONG92

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)165

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)145

P/BV1.19

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd116

EV/EBIT Fwd156

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield9.0%9

Dividend Yield2.5%6

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-2%7

3 month return+5%7

YTD return-6%4

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh90%8

1 year return-5%4

Long term

3 year return-1%3

5 year return+8%4

Risk Shield

100

Price Risk

Beta-0.110

Volatility16%10

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin48%10

Free Cash Flow Yield9.0%9

Quality

ROCE7%4

Earnings Stability88

Net Debt/EBITDA1.35

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

601816Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co.

Revenue FY25$6.2B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE44 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+30%10

Revenue, next 1Y+9%6

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+5%4

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+11%7

EPS growth, FY27E+8%6

EPS growth, FY28E+8%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 30%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 8%/yr vs revenue 5%/yr).

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 44% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 5%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

Revenue grew 30%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 5%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Maturing Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the five-year outlook is thin.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

601816Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co.

Total return Current−12.4%

Price return Current−18.1%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE51 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-2%7

3-month return+5%7

YTD return-6%4

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high90%8

1-year return-5%4

3-year return-1%3

5-year return+8%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (-2%) and over three months (+5%).

WATCH

It's down 5% over the past year, now 10% below its 52-week high. That is a touch ahead of the market.

Returns sit at the market level so far this year (-6%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-0.6% over three years and +8.4% over five), behind 60% of the market.

BOTTOM LINE

Early Turnaround

A poor multi-year track record but a sharp recent rally. Momentum is turning up, yet the trend is young and unproven — it needs follow-through to confirm rather than fade. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Beijing-Shanghai HSR. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

601816Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co.

Revenue FY25$6.2B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE44 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+30%10

Revenue, next 1Y+9%6

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+5%4

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+11%7

EPS growth, FY27E+8%6

EPS growth, FY28E+8%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 30%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 8%/yr vs revenue 5%/yr).

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 44% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 5%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

Revenue grew 30%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 5%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Maturing Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the five-year outlook is thin.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

601816Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co.

Total return Current−12.4%

Price return Current−18.1%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE51 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-2%7

3-month return+5%7

YTD return-6%4

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high90%8

1-year return-5%4

3-year return-1%3

5-year return+8%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (-2%) and over three months (+5%).

WATCH

It's down 5% over the past year, now 10% below its 52-week high. That is a touch ahead of the market.

Returns sit at the market level so far this year (-6%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-0.6% over three years and +8.4% over five), behind 60% of the market.

BOTTOM LINE

Early Turnaround

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Beijing-Shanghai HSR. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community